To: The Freep who wrote (77733 ) 6/1/2001 3:28:16 PM From: t2 Respond to of 99985 Freep, I think that article you posted on the slowing of technology spending has some positive elements as well.``This run-up in tech stocks has been premature,'' Yardeni said. ``We've had a rally based on the belief that `it's-so-bad-it-can't-get-any-worse'.'' In one piece of good news, the poll debunks the notion that corporations aren't buying because they have bought too much technology already. Only 21 percent of the CIOs polled said that they had sufficient capacity in technology. About 63 percent said the biggest reason not to buy tech goods was either weak profits or tight financial conditions. In other words, corporations should resume their buying, once the economy turns around and their profits and finances improve. This means, Yardeni says, that the downturn in tech spending is a short-term, not a long-term, trend. There is a catalyst on the horizon for technology spending by corporations and consumer spending as well. That is Windows XP that gets launched beginning of November. I would note that spending on PCs slows down ahead of major Windows launches. We should start getting comments like that from the PC vendors...in the meantime, they are getting lean! Even the Office XP release of this week will impact MSFT earnings when Windows XP is released. That is one reason many corporations like to wait on PC type of purchases. There is really no reason to buy a Pentium 4...yet. There is some negative IDC PC demand research that is on the way...but it seems to be anticipated by the market. There were negative points in that article but I believe that the positive elements will get played out in the near term. My bet is that the tech spending will come back late this year. Just not sure how long the telecommunication spending remains low...less confidence on that segment. Will look at the article on the weekend again.