SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ilaine who wrote (4187)6/3/2001 3:14:12 AM
From: Box-By-The-Riviera™  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
In some ways Ohmae's thesis is mirrored by some current bearish outlooks... which is to say, when it comes to the movement of capital, minimumly, the flow of capital (demand)toward world goods, beyond an outright blockcade, there are no goverment tariffs, programs, policies to stop that flow....i.e. all the numbers and pronoucements in the world lack real effect. You might even argue, and in some ways nearly by happenstance, the US Dollar has been, of all currencies, the most attractive world product, though by design might be harder to prove. When that is no longer the case, AG and the planners will be powerless to prevent the subsequent change. The heart of such a change will come from a difference in demand... which is to say that when Iraq, for example, threatens to price oil exports in Euro's, it is a very serious matter, meaning, it is in some ways like Toyota making a design change to enter a new local market via their basic world car. World products, adapted to local differences...certainly that has been highlighted in the last 14 months in Europe during the top of the oil price crisis when euroland currencies were traded for high priced dollars to pay for oil priced in dollars etc etc etc.....even in the case of an outright blockcade, the power of the black market is not to be denied either, as can be seen in the case made for mattress money flowing into dollars to avoid the Euro transition or the flow of drugs out of the southern Americas.

Certainly his ideas take you out of a debate over the interpretation and slant regarding an ever changing set of statistics, and allows you to focus on the thing itself.. seems to me.



To: Ilaine who wrote (4187)6/5/2001 5:26:11 AM
From: Maurice Winn  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
<...am intrigued by his assertion that it's meaningless to look at economic stats from one country in isolation>

CB, similarly, the idea of trade imbalances or trade deficits with other countries is a screwy idea. It doesn't matter at all if the USA has zero exports to China but China has multibillions exported to USA. The money flows back around via NZ exporting to China, Saudi Arabia exporting to NZ and USA exporting to Saudi Arabia.

It is also funny how the USA wants to 'open up' other countries to trade, while the USA stops imports themselves. Such hypocrisy!

'Buying American' or 'Buying New Zealand' is a silly idea. Buying the cheapest is the best idea. It creates the greatest economic value and the greatest happiness. A lazy fat Yank earning another 40 cans of beer is much less economically useful than a hungry and grateful Indian earning a bag of rice for their family. Much better to buy a cheap CDMA phone made in India than an expensive one made in the USA.

Mqurice