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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: TobagoJack who wrote (4216)	6/3/2001 10:58:22 AM
From: Stock Farmer	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

Hi Jay - maybe it's a triple secret thing? Tech stocks being a hedge against gold which is a hedge against tech? And so on, ad-infinitum but infinitely more subtle than my black-and-white example. Which with your chemistry chuckle brought to mind a different scenario. My onerous task, to clean up an aluminum baking pan of vastly over-baked chocolate chip cookies... What gets the black out? Mom uses bleach. Brute force logic led to totally unexpected consequences. Never forgotten. Not to be repeated! So here we are, adults yes, but educated in the workings of the financial world like kids are to cookies and cleaning stuffs... with our blackened tech stocks and our Chlorox gold and pouring one upon the other. This could work famously, or have us running fleeing, choking. I pause just before pouring to think briefly. John

To: TobagoJack who wrote (4216)	6/3/2001 12:19:18 PM
From: Ilaine	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

I wonder how they know whether they are anticipating the pattern or causing it? Don't suppose it matters as long as it goes the way they are betting.

To: TobagoJack who wrote (4216)	6/3/2001 12:34:37 PM
From: LLCF	Respond to of 74559

I used to work at the place that backed these folks: amazon.com DAK

To: TobagoJack who wrote (4216)	6/5/2001 2:02:55 AM
From: pezz	Respond to of 74559

Predict stock prices with a computer?? Jay, say it ain't so! Stock market trading,investing is I believe an art not a science. The best computer still loses to the best human chess player.......How the hell it gonna determine which stocks goin up when there are no absolutes here. After all a good chess move can be proven good regardless of any possible responding moves. The stock market responds to external future circumstances that cannot be predicted scientifically. Thus it would seem that the computer can't even give you the odds. <<Running Nasdaq data through the Oxford model suggests that there was, indeed, a period of increased predictability in the six months before April 2000, compared with the months before that. >> Back testing has a very poor record. <<The question is: are the researchers rich yet? >> Money is how we keep score.......