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Strategies & Market Trends : Drillbits & Bottlerockets -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Jorj X Mckie who wrote (14074)	6/6/2001 1:18:09 AM
From: Augustus Gloop	Respond to of 15481

I'd rather not use Japan as the example but I think we need to see things for what they are. Consumers are flat out tapped and are still spending 101% of their income. Now I agree that the cuts we've seen have yet to impact the economy but I don't see demand picking up that much. Car lots are filled with models from as far back as 1999. And I live in almost a recession proof area! <<The danger of using lagging indicators with a slow tool.>> This is very true but the fed used those same lagging indicators to slam us with a 50 BP hike last June. As far as the slow tool......I imagine that greenspans tool has slowed a bit in recent years. After last year he should just be glad it didn't get cut off. Bobbit.com