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To: Perspective who wrote (106866)6/6/2001 1:03:36 PM
From: pater tenebrarum  Respond to of 436258
 
i would agree that the policy response to the bursting of the bubble is in the main just going to draw things out. it's basically throwing good money after bad...and it ultimately makes the situation worse, since as a side effect it leads to a further blowing up of the credit bubble. so the mismatch between the accumulated private sector debt and the economy's ability to service that debt becomes ever larger.

this is a box Greenboink won't be able to print us out of, so i think you're betting right. regarding your bet, only the question of timing is of importance...it's iow a question of when, not of if. i think by next year the failure of the bureaucrats to stem the rot will have become very obvious.



To: Perspective who wrote (106866)6/7/2001 2:07:37 PM
From: NOW  Respond to of 436258
 
Thoughtful post Bobcor!
The last few fed speeches are illuminating: denying inflation whilst suggesting that cuts are nearly done. Why? The long bonds were going into the toilet, and that could not be allowed to continue or consumer speding is kaput.
So, deny inflation (good psychological move) and hint that fed easing is almost over or has a limit.