To: Hawkmoon who wrote (1676 ) 6/6/2001 9:56:54 PM From: Zeev Hed Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 23908 Come on, the Palestinians expelled into Jordan? This is ridiculous. A war between Syria Iraq and Israel? What would the strategic goals of such a war be? Let me tell you a little secret about Sadam, he'll fight for the Palestinians till the last drop of blood of the Palestinians, but not a single drop of Iraqi blood. If you presume that Iraq and Syria's strategic goal will be the expulsion of the Jewish population into the sea, you got to ask yourself, if that was to be even close to happen, what doomsday response would the Israeli take? So the expulsion of Israel into the sea is not longer a valid Iraqi/Syrian strategic goal. What strategic goal would Israel have in fighting with Syria and Iraq?, Take Damascus and Baghdad? And once they get it, they'll be like a dog running after a car, once it caught up with it, what will the dog do with the car? The same here, what will the Israeli do with Baghdad and Damascus? In 1973, the road to Cairo was clear and open without a single Egyptian army in the way (Sharon took out the third Army in a brilliant crossing of the canal), yet, the orders to move were refused or not even considered and for good reasons, there was no strategic goal achievable by taking Egypt's capital, just because it could be done, does not mean it was strategically wise to do. The same with your hypothetical scenario of a war between Syria and Iraq on one side and Israel on the other. There are no strategic goals achievable by either side from such a conflict. That conflict will not happen, IMHO. The problem is between Israel and the Palestinians. The Palestinians, according to Husseini's Doctrine, have a long range strategic goal of reverting back to the pre 1948 situation, the short term tactical move is to try and come to a short term arrangement that will allow them, mostly by demographic development (and if possible through the "Right of return") longer term to achieve their long term strategy. Until this Doctrine is abandoned, Israel is not going to, nor should it be expected to, commit suicide, thus the "straightening" of borders by various methods and trying to reach a short term arrangement that will not allow the Palestinians the means to achieve the Husseini Doctrine. The hope is that in the next fifty years of peaceful neighborhood between the Palestinians and Israelis, the Palestinians will become the envy of the Arab world, since their standard of living will come close to that of the Israeli, and maybe even close to that of the Israeli Arabs (which as a population have the highest standard of leaving of all Arabs in the crescent). One thing is a historical fact, middle classes rarely go on barricades. They are not "masses with nothing to lose but their chains", and if in fifty years we indeed have a massive Palestinian middle class, they will have more to lose from a conflict than from cooperation with Israel. Expelling the Palestinians from the west bank is not contemplated by anyone except possibly some very fanatic right wing clans, no different than Islamic fundamentalists. Zeev