To: Victor Lazlo who wrote (126109 ) 6/7/2001 3:17:43 AM From: craig crawford Respond to of 164687 China on the Move China is in the midst of a new cultural revolution, driven by economic growth and integration into the global market. What will this mean for its people? And the world? FORTUNE Monday, May 14, 2001 By Jim Rohwer fortune.com (excerpts) It took Britain most of the 19th century to multiply per capita income 2 1/2 times. U.S. income increased 3 1/2 times in the 60 years from 1870 to 1930, Japan's six times from 1950 to 1975. But China is the fastest of all. Since emerging from economic isolation in 1979, Chinese incomes have risen sevenfold. You do not have to open the history books or plow through tomes of economic statistics to understand this. Anybody who goes to China can sense it. Twenty years ago China was a drab place. People ate mostly noodles and rice, which were rationed. They wore baggy blue Mao suits and lived in cities where the lights were out by 8 p.m. Within ten years the amount of fish, meat, and other tasty things the Chinese had consumed increased three or four times. Today people in China's coastal cities are often dressed as elegantly as their counterparts in the West. Nightclubs are ubiquitous. Almost every home has a color TV. Justin Lin, who runs the China Center for Economic Research in Beijing, thinks that productivity growth has been running at about 5% a year for the past 20 years--more than twice America's rate over that period and about five times faster than Britain managed during the Industrial Revolution. Finally, there is China's momentum. Lin points out that Japan's economy grew rapidly for 40 years, from 1950 to 1990. Given China's age structure, its ability to accumulate capital, and its potential for catching up technologically, he figures China could do the same for 50 years. We're just over 20 years into that time span. Suppose China grows for another 30 years at 8% to 10% a year. At that rate, by 2030 the Chinese economy would be roughly the size of America's or Europe's