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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: bobby beara who wrote (78227)6/7/2001 9:30:50 PM
From: puborectalis  Respond to of 99985
 
TXN.......DSP products--key components in nearly every communications applications as well as a growing number of real-time embedded control systems--will suffer a 26% drop in revenues to $5 billion this year, said the SIA. However, the new forecast also shows digital signal processors as one of the strongest recovery segments in 2002 with a 30% increase in sales to $6 billion, followed by another 35% rise to $8 billion in 2003. When chip market begin to slow again in 2004--with just a 7% growth rate overall--DSP revenues will still sizzle and increase 30% to $10 billion, according to the SIA mid-year forecast.



To: bobby beara who wrote (78227)6/7/2001 9:56:56 PM
From: Justa Werkenstiff  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
Bobby: Re: "justa, the fact that the bear threads dominate the top of the hotlist for this big rally off the march - april bottom, is bullish, i thought that when we had the fake-out break-out a coupla weeks ago and the clowns were off the hotlist for a number of days, that maybe that was enough capitulation to mark a turning point in a bear market rally, however the nas held the bottom of the box and has had a bunch of bad news thrown at it and refuses to break down."

Greenspan deserves alot of credit. Imagine if there were
any fundamentals to go with these rallies.

Re: "we are use to a low vix marking tops, however there are a boatload of stocks and indexes that have gone sideways since late april, creating cheep options, so i'm not sure the vix can be equated to complacency, maybe indecision."

I think vix will still mark a top. Low vix can stay there for a a time in a bear market rally. It could go lower.

Re: "gaps are usually encouraging for emerging trends, unless they are exhaustion gaps, a gap open tommorrow has to be given the benefit of the doubt, sure would't short it, unless maybe it did a giant gravestone doji -g-"

I am selling the gap. Shorts to be done as the day progresses. Too many warnings despite markets willingnes to ignore them for now. LSCC, COMS, Transwitch. More to come. This is a "stabilzation" pop based on hope on a rope and confused shorts. But cancellations and push outs do have a tendency to decrease when backlog is no longer. This pop is not surprising to me at all. Next to come: no growth and more business declines in Europe and Asia and another trip down. Lots of bullishness out there in threadom tonight.



To: bobby beara who wrote (78227)6/7/2001 10:32:08 PM
From: ajtj99  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99985
 
Bobby, I was thinking tomorrow would be a perfect day for a Doji, either a gravestone or an evening star.