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To: Les H who wrote (311)6/12/2001 12:20:02 AM
From: Les H  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 29597
 
updated VIX, QQQ, and SPY

geocities.com



To: Les H who wrote (311)6/12/2001 10:36:27 AM
From: Les H  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 29597
 
S & P 500 hits 50-day mov avg, lower Bollinger Band, and May 4 low

66.59.141.65

VIX is close to the 28-day EMA resistance about 24.90.



To: Les H who wrote (311)6/12/2001 4:20:12 PM
From: Les H  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 29597
 
Nine Month Cycle (previous one revisited)

cycle tendencies
10-week 20-week 40-week SPX change high low
May 24 start start start 1361 none
Jun 16 green green green 1464 +103 1483 +122 N.A.
Jul 10 yellow green green 1475 + 11 1488 + 24 1436 - 28
Aug 2 red yellow green 1438 - 37 1517 + 42 1414 - 61
Aug 25 green yellow green 1506 + 68 1513 + 75 1426 - 12
Sep 15 yellow red yellow 1465 - 38 1530 + 24 1460 - 46
Oct 11 red red yellow 1364 - 99 1467 + 2 1349 -115
Nov 3 green green yellow 1426 + 62 1433 + 67 1305 - 59
Nov 27 yellow green yellow 1348 - 78 1438 + 12 1321 -105
Dec 20 red yellow red 1264 - 84 1389 + 41 1261 - 87
Jan 12 green yellow red 1318 + 54 1350 + 86 1254 - 10
Feb 03 yellow red red 1349 + 31 1385 + 67 1313 - 5
Feb 28 red red red 1239 -110 1354 + 5 1215 -134
Mar 23 red red red 1139 -100 1267 + 28 1081 -158
Apr 4 red red red 1103 - 36 1183 + 54 1091 - 48

As can be seen, the market downturn overshot the target low
date of Feb 28. The next date of Mar 23rd, which is 3 and
one-third weeks late, was within one day of the actual low
for the Dow and S&P 500. April 4 turned out to be the
actual low for all three major indices, Dow, SPX, and OTC,
together.



To: Les H who wrote (311)6/12/2001 9:52:31 PM
From: Les H  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 29597
 
Market/Sector Breadth Journal: June 12, 2001 (3406 stocks)

percent stocks over MA highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows
market 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d 5-days 10-days 20-days 1-year
----------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
Jun 12 47 49 69 58 539 - 1120 434 - 631 325 - 416 108 - 37
Jun 11 48 50 70 58 443 - 1138 346 - 664 261 - 401 85 - 37
Jun 8 56 56 74 58 549 - 764 401 - 466 299 - 252 85 - 22
Jun 7 60 62 76 59 1032 - 592 678 - 421 477 - 232 124 - 18
Jun 6 56 60 76 58 856 - 545 481 - 418 398 - 214 116 - 19
Jun 5 63 66 79 59 1552 - 287 820 - 213 696 - 119 220 - 12
Jun 4 48 58 76 58 993 - 435 604 - 346 504 - 207 181 - 20
Jun 1 41 55 75 57 665 - 551 415 - 377 354 - 204 124 - 21
May 31 35 51 73 55 515 - 827 326 - 584 279 - 325 103 - 22
May 30 30 47 71 54 283 - 1800 209 - 989 171 - 599 68 - 35
May 29 45 60 78 57 450 - 1365 381 - 567 307 - 341 98 - 19
May 25 59 68 82 58 546 - 802 474 - 316 387 - 164 108 - 13
May 24 66 72 82 58 733 - 682 646 - 250 524 - 125 137 - 11
May 23 68 73 82 58 554 - 741 487 - 308 381 - 166 92 - 9
May 22 80 80 84 60 1362 - 304 1147 - 176 940 - 85 216 - 12
May 21 80 80 84 59 1808 - 228 1468 - 157 1203 - 76 301 - 10

Market Index Breadth

S & P 500

percent stocks over MA highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows
market 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d 5-days 10-days 20-days 1-year
----------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
Jun 12 1255 37 38 66 68 56 - 192 37 - 111 28 - 67 8 - 5
Jun 11 1254 38 40 66 66 38 - 208 26 - 123 20 - 66 5 - 2
Jun 8 1264 49 49 73 68 59 - 127 50 - 81 34 - 43 12 - 2
Jun 7 1276 57 58 75 70 160 - 106 104 - 87 58 - 44 16 - 2
Jun 6 1270 50 57 75 69 95 - 102 55 - 83 37 - 38 16 - 1
Jun 5 1283 65 67 80 71 262 - 36 123 - 30 106 - 20 32 - 0
Jun 4 1267 47 57 75 69 155 - 54 80 - 48 63 - 27 21 - 1
Jun 1 1260 37 52 74 68 95 - 77 45 - 56 42 - 23 10 - 1
May 31 1255 33 51 76 68 93 - 89 52 - 67 49 - 29 12 - 0
May 30 1248 23 44 71 67 46 - 285 30 - 162 22 - 87 7 - 3
May 29 1267 36 58 77 69 64 - 212 46 - 93 40 - 54 11 - 3
May 25 1277 45 63 82 71 28 - 180 26 - 62 20 - 26 4 - 2
May 24 1293 59 72 85 72 70 - 145 64 - 42 50 - 22 13 - 2
May 23 1289 68 77 85 72 54 - 149 50 - 44 36 - 31 9 - 2
May 22 1309 82 85 88 75 171 - 44 157 - 25 130 - 13 33 - 1
May 21 1312 86 86 86 74 269 - 32 245 - 26 207 - 13 57 - 1

Nasdaq 100

percent stocks over MA highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows
market 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d 5-days 10-days 20-days 1-year
----------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
Jun 12 1852 40 36 59 29 6 - 34 6 - 18 4 - 12 1 - 4
Jun 11 1846 35 30 59 29 2 - 48 2 - 27 2 - 17 1 - 2
Jun 8 1896 54 50 69 29 5 - 32 3 - 13 2 - 8 1 - 2
Jun 7 1963 73 68 73 32 53 - 4 24 - 2 13 - 2 3 - 0
Jun 6 1903 57 56 68 29 24 - 8 5 - 8 4 - 6 1 - 1
Jun 5 1923 60 55 73 29 67 - 2 17 - 2 16 - 2 3 - 0
Jun 4 1838 24 34 58 27 13 - 14 6 - 13 5 - 11 0 - 0
Jun 1 1840 25 36 60 27 8 - 4 2 - 4 2 - 2 0 - 0
May 31 1799 10 26 55 26 4 - 30 1 - 23 1 - 16 0 - 1
May 30 1779 6 19 53 25 2 - 82 1 - 47 1 - 41 1 - 1
May 29 1873 18 36 67 27 3 - 76 3 - 23 2 - 19 1 - 0
May 25 1960 61 63 84 33 7 - 27 7 - 8 5 - 6 1 - 0
May 24 2003 78 73 89 33 13 - 11 13 - 2 8 - 1 1 - 0
May 23 1957 76 69 84 28 5 - 21 5 - 6 2 - 4 0 - 0
May 22 2042 93 87 94 34 30 - 2 23 - 1 15 - 0 1 - 0
May 21 2052 89 84 93 35 83 - 4 67 - 4 52 - 2 3 - 0

S & P 100

percent stocks over MA highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows
market 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d 5-days 10-days 20-days 1-year
----------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
Jun 12 647 34 34 61 58 10 - 44 8 - 22 4 - 16 1 - 2
Jun 11 646 36 33 59 56 8 - 44 4 - 30 3 - 16 2 - 1
Jun 8 651 44 38 70 57 10 - 26 8 - 19 4 - 11 0 - 1
Jun 7 658 51 50 74 63 27 - 25 15 - 21 9 - 7 1 - 1
Jun 6 655 47 48 77 60 13 - 21 9 - 19 5 - 6 0 - 0
Jun 5 662 58 62 81 64 48 - 10 20 - 8 16 - 5 3 - 0
Jun 4 654 41 52 78 62 31 - 10 14 - 8 10 - 3 3 - 0
Jun 1 649 32 47 77 60 19 - 20 8 - 14 7 - 6 2 - 0
May 31 646 25 42 77 59 11 - 22 6 - 17 6 - 7 2 - 0
May 30 642 20 41 72 60 6 - 60 4 - 33 3 - 14 0 - 0
May 29 652 33 55 77 61 11 - 37 8 - 18 7 - 8 0 - 0
May 25 658 37 55 82 61 2 - 44 2 - 16 1 - 7 0 - 0
May 24 668 56 68 85 65 20 - 32 19 - 10 16 - 5 1 - 0
May 23 665 65 76 84 64 14 - 34 10 - 9 7 - 6 2 - 0
May 22 676 82 80 86 64 29 - 9 23 - 9 19 - 3 4 - 0
May 21 678 83 83 84 64 51 - 6 43 - 5 39 - 1 9 - 0

AIQ market log (buy - sell ratios of signals for stocks >= 7 and ADV >= 75,000)

Unconfirmed Signals (US)
market DJIA SPX OTC Universe SPX OEX NDX
----------------- ------ ----- ----- -------- -------- -------- --------
Jun 12 10,948 1255 2169 80 - 20 84 - 16 100 - 0 86 - 14
Jun 11 10,922 1254 2170 76 - 24 77 - 23 90 - 10 86 - 14
Jun 8 10,977 1264 2215 68 - 32 71 - 29 78 - 22 71 - 29
Jun 7 11,090 1276 2264 62 - 38 63 - 37 67 - 33 67 - 33
Jun 6 11,070 1270 2217 62 - 38 58 - 42 67 - 33 83 - 17
Jun 5 11,175 1283 2233 58 - 42 59 - 41 56 - 44 86 - 14
Jun 4 11,061 1267 2155 76 - 24 74 - 26 75 - 25 100 - 0
Jun 1 10,990 1260 2149 78 - 22 76 - 24 80 - 20 100 - 0
May 31 10,911 1255 2110 78 - 22 75 - 25 75 - 25 100 - 0
May 30 10,872 1248 2084 79 - 21 76 - 24 71 - 29 100 - 0
May 29 11,039 1267 2175 57 - 43 58 - 42 43 - 57 83 - 17
May 25 11,005 1277 2251 43 - 57 51 - 49 37 - 63 50 - 50
May 24 11,122 1293 2282 34 - 66 35 - 65 25 - 75 25 - 75
May 23 11,105 1289 2243 30 - 70 31 - 69 27 - 73 40 - 60
May 22 11,257 1309 2313 18 - 82 14 - 86 22 - 78 0 -100
May 21 11,337 1312 2305 19 - 81 13 - 87 25 - 75 0 -100

June 12

Weighted Unconfirmed
Action List Daily Signals

Universe 22 - 78 80 - 20
S&P 500 (SPX) 26 - 74 84 - 16
S&P 100 (OEX) 28 - 72 100 - 0
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) 8 - 92 86 - 14

Nine Month Cycle - April 4 Anchor

Apr 4 start start start 1103 none
Apr 27 green green green 1253 +150 1253 +150 1103 + 10
May 21 yellow green green 1312 + 59 1312 + 59 1240 - 13
Jun 13 red yellow green 1255 - 57 1315 + 3 1235 - 77
Jul 6 green yellow green
Jul 30 yellow red yellow
Aug 22 red red yellow
Sep 14 green green yellow
Oct 8 yellow green yellow
Oct 31 red yellow red
Nov 23 green yellow red
Dec 17 yellow red red
Jan 9 red red red

Other significant dates:

Jun 19 potential high - 89 calendar days since March 22nd low
Jun 20 potential high - 21 trading days since May 21st high
Jun 28 potential low - second 7/8 day subperiod into Jun 13 - Jul 6 periods
due just before favorable end-of-month turn into July,
before 3-month cycle peaks, and
before seasonal trading volume peaks in July
Jul 2 potential high - 89 calendar days since April 4th low
Jul 5 potential high - 15 weeks from March 22nd low
20-week cycle high occurs in week 10 (May 31) to week 15
with 70% probability
Jul 18 potential high - 15 weeks from April 4th low
20-week cycle high occurs in week 10 (June 13) to week 15
with 70% probability