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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: smolejv@gmx.net who wrote (4886)6/13/2001 8:01:30 AM
From: Cogito Ergo Sum  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
' is intelligence-on-cruise-control' I guess we're getting bored waiting :o)



To: smolejv@gmx.net who wrote (4886)6/13/2001 10:35:08 AM
From: Ilaine  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Not sure I have an original thought but I have an inkling of an original thought - to understand depressions, one must study depressions. I've been fixated on the one in the 1920s-1930s, but there were others, e.g., in the US a big one from 1891-1897, and a short but sharp one 1920-1921, actually quite a few in the past but I am just getting started. Since the Federal Reserve system was adopted, no more depressions, but maybe a coincidence.

Anyone who remembers other significant depressions in the past, no matter when or where, let me know, please. I intend to try to correlate factors they have in common.

Warning: boring stuff follows:

Factors in US depression of 1891-1897:

1. Tariff of 1890 intended to eliminate imports.
2. Failure of England's Baring Bank due to speculation in Argentine wheat - wheat harvest of 1890 low - collapse causes gold to be repatriated to England.
3. Drain on Treasury gold stocks causes reduction in money supply.
4. Bursting of bubble in railroad industry - 192 railroad companies go into receivership.
5. Bank panic of 1892.

Hmmmm, looks kind of familiar.