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To: Clappy who wrote (4872)6/13/2001 4:17:18 PM
From: AllansAlias  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
Yup, that's a popular interpretation these days and is valid.

I am holding off on updating long-term counts. You guys know I rush into action when there is a nice move. Until then, it's all just so much jello and not worth one's time to publish.

In general at this stage, I am very skeptical of any widly bullish counts.



To: Clappy who wrote (4872)6/13/2001 4:31:48 PM
From: JRI  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
Clappy, here's the verbatim from the Murphy bible:

The descending triangle is just a mirror image of the ascending, and is generally considered a bearish pattern. The pattern indicates that sellers are more aggressive than buyers, and is usually resolved on the downside. The downside signal is registered by a decisive close under the lower trendline, usually on increased volume. A return move sometimes occurs which should encounter resistance at the lower trendline.

The measuring technique is exactly the same as the ascending triangle in the sense that you measure the height of the pattern at the base to the left and then project that distance from the breakpoint.

The Descending Triangle as a Top

While the descending triangle is a continuation pattern and is usually found within downtrends, it is not unusual on occasion for the descending triangle to be found at market tops.

The Volume Pattern

The volume pattern in both ascending and descending triangles is very similiar....volume diminishes as the pattern works itself out, and then increases on the breakout. In the descending formation, volume shoudl be heavier on the downside, and lighter in the bounces.

Time Factor

A triangle that lasts less than a month is probably a different pattern, such as a pennant..

My note: All we have to do now, is to figure out if your triangle IS THE DOMINANT PATTERN HERE.....ng



To: Clappy who wrote (4872)6/13/2001 4:51:22 PM
From: AllansAlias  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
Note that in the case of corrective triangles (talking Elliott here), it is usual that 'e' (down in this scenario) is a throw over or headfake. This would be our down that looks like the world is falling apart, only to see it reverse as a strong rally begins.

We would be able to recognize such a reversal in time to bite out a lot of it except the first leg.