To: Zeev Hed who wrote (18240 ) 6/18/2001 8:52:54 PM From: puborectalis Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 30051 Dataquest sees worst dip ever for chip market By Peter Clarke EE Times (06/18/01 19:35 p.m. EST) Recent Articles Business News Entegris expects another 25-35% sequential drop in revenues next quarter Shellcase raises $20 million to expand wafer-level packaging activities LSI Logic sells Colorado fab to foundry provider X-Fab for $120 million Lam says metal etcher for sub-150-nm processes eliminates consumable costs SigmaRAM group expects samples of 18-Mbit memories in Q4 Group enhances QDR SRAM spec for 333 MHz; samples due in Q4 Archives LAS VEGAS — Painting the gloomiest picture yet of the current semiconductor industry downturn, Gartner Dataquest analyst Bryan Lewis said that revenues will drop by 25 percent this year versus 2000, marking the steepest year-to-year decline ever in the chip industry's history. Speaking at a briefing here Sunday (June 17) prior to the start of the 38th Design Automation Conference, Lewis, director of ASIC and system-level integration research at Gartner Dataquest (San Jose, Calif.), also pushed out the timing of the semiconductor industry's recovery to mid-2002. However, Lewis said these developments would not heavily impact the number of design starts, which provided some comfort to the EDA company executives that made up his audience. In contrast Gartner Dataquest chief analyst Jim Tully said that the market for licensable semiconductor intellectual property grew 40 percent in 2000 over 1999, and was expected it to achieve the same level of growth in 2001. But it was Lewis' comments on the troubled semiconductor industry that caught the audience's attention. "The downturn has changed in the last month,” Lewis said. “There have been a number of announcements in the last month, of layoffs and revenue warnings. Given the new information there's now a good chance that things will get worse. 2001 could be down 25 percent.”