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To: Spekulatius who wrote (109256)6/18/2001 9:34:14 PM
From: Don Lloyd  Respond to of 436258
 
S -

I'd like to add LLTC. Basically a fine company but valued like in the peak stage of a growth cycle. next quarter rev will be 20-30% down. In addition, I think there is a good chance that the fat profit margins for analog chips will disppear forever, since digital DSP's will replace them. my short target is 20$.

You are correct in that LLTC did predict in April that the current quarter will be sequentially down 20-30% in revenue, but neglect to mention that they also predicted that this would have minimal effect on its 76% gross margin and on its 44% net after tax margin, as the variable costs could and would be readily dialed back. That said, it is entirely possibly that $20 could be reached if the market so rules.

Saying that analog has fat profit margins is equivalent to saying that food has fat profit margins, a statement so broad as to be meaningless. Margins are the result of a company deciding what market subset it wants to supply.

DSP's will NOT generally replace analog circuits, except for some filter circuit requirements, but actually require more overall.

Regards, Don



To: Spekulatius who wrote (109256)6/18/2001 10:32:24 PM
From: Earlie  Respond to of 436258
 
Spec:

Good comments.

So many (semi) targets, so little time (and dough). (g)

Best, earlie