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To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (109408)6/19/2001 10:33:23 PM
From: Davy Crockett  Respond to of 436258
 
I think you hit it on the head ...it's still not clear whether we'll get a deflationary bubble collapse, or a hyperinflationary one. Maybe we get both at the same time



To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (109408)6/20/2001 12:30:14 AM
From: NOW  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
Driving me nuts too: when you figure this out let me know.



To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (109408)6/20/2001 7:37:39 AM
From: Crimson Ghost  Respond to of 436258
 
I suspect we will see strong deflation in some sectors of the economy and strong inflation in other sectors. But overall inflation probably will not take off big time unless and until the dollar goes down for the count.



To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (109408)7/9/2001 10:24:27 PM
From: Davy Crockett  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
Funny, I was looking for a specific post... & I ran across this...(without the wordiness <g/ng>)

Message #109408 from patron_anejo_por_favor at Jun 19, 2001 8:43 PM

<<But I suspect the disinflationary impact of lower energy prices will not be nearly enough to offset the inflationary impact of the coming dollar smash and the ongoing explosive growth of the money supply.>>
I gotta admit, George, the tug of war between deflation and inflation is driving me nuts here! I remember having the same discussion with Heinz over a year ago...what's remarkable is even though we're a year deeper into the mess, it's still not clear whether we'll get a deflationary bubble collapse, or a hyperinflationary one. Maybe we get both at the same time, along with increased instability of the financial system as witnessed by declining corporate earnings and increased bankruptcies and defaults. I guess it's just like Chuckie Schwab says on his commercial (you know, the one where he tells us all to just "take a deep breath and relax"):

"A few Schwab poots, a few bonds, a little gold, a little cash...and you can ride out almost any market downturn"<G>