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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John Pitera who wrote (4132)6/22/2001 1:24:25 AM
From: Chris  Respond to of 33421
 
thanks for the post. i read your insights everday



To: John Pitera who wrote (4132)6/22/2001 1:27:38 AM
From: John Pitera  Respond to of 33421
 
Philadelphia Fed

Philadelphia Fed index improved to -3.7 in June -- better but still below the neutral mark.
7th consecutive reading below neutral; mfg recession may not have hit bottom though worst of regional decline is past
.
Jump in prices paid to 17.8 worsens the profit squeeze as prices received have been below 0 since October.

New orders fell to lowest level since Feb, Shipments (sales) to the lowest since March.

Employment worsens with double digit declines since March, labor market lags orders/production/shipments.
6 month outlook continues to rocket higher. At 58.2 in June as new orders outlook jumped to 55.8.

Trade Balance

April trade deficit fell to $32.174 bln from strong upward revisions to prior months deficits.

Imports fell 2.2% after a revised 2.3% March rise. Consumer goods provided the vast bulk of the decline.
Oil/petroleum imports rose given gains in both volume and price.
Exports fell 2.0% following a like-sized March decline. Capital goods provided the bulk.
Auto imports rose as aircraft fell off.
Pacific Rim provided 47% of the April deficit, NAFTA neighbors provided 20%.



To: John Pitera who wrote (4132)6/22/2001 12:04:14 PM
From: MulhollandDrive  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 33421
 
Hi John,

>>First, when the Fed cuts rates, the value of the dollar usually falls, making U.S. exports cheaper for foreign buyers and thus stimulating U.S. production. But that hasn't happened this year. The dollar has kept rising, and exporters are furious.<<

Do you have any insight about why this would be?