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Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: GVTucker who wrote (137961)6/22/2001 2:28:44 PM
From: maui_dude  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 186894
 
Re : "When valuations are high, like they are now, 15% would be an outlier at the far edge of the scale."

GV, valuations for semi stocks are very tricky to go by. When the market turns the earnings can triple or quadruple very easily.

BTW, if you aren't even expecting 15% growth for INTC, I dont understand why you don't write covered calls one year out and pocket 20-25% premium ? Your logic only if you expect Intel to drop significantly from its current level. do you ?

Maui.



To: GVTucker who wrote (137961)6/22/2001 2:28:45 PM
From: Yaacov  Respond to of 186894
 
Lets see if I understand you, are you saying that 15% growth for the next years is too high? I don't give a dime about todays valuation, but do you think US economy will be stuck in neutral for the next 5 years? No growth? Then regert to say you don't know your matiere; think again! The market could easily pick-up by the end of this year and INTC
could be back where it was by the end of the 2002.

The present valuation is based on the economic outlook at the present time, it mean nothing once the economic outlook changes and the econmy re-enters into another period of growth. Naybe you should stuck to your technical analysis of chips!



To: GVTucker who wrote (137961)6/22/2001 2:39:42 PM
From: Proud_Infidel  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 186894
 
When valuations are high, like they are now, 15% would be an outlier at the far edge of the scale.



One would need to make the assumption that we will not see growth going forward for the semis(unlikely) or that the law of Greed has been repealed and tech stocks will never have their day in the sun once the economy gets back on track(again unlikely). Either scenario is unlikely, but the chance for both occuring is infintessimally small IMO.

BK