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To: aknahow who wrote (874)6/23/2001 10:17:00 AM
From: 2MAR$  Respond to of 208838
 
Which is a better short sale, BGEN, XOMA or DNA? TIA



I am never sure about anything , when it comes to the
BIO's . Some of those valuations just defy gravity
and are like buying EBAY long for $500/shr <gg>
Then you have LEHM(?) issuing targets of $80
on GENE ? Just invitations to short, IMO.

Did you catch BGEN short friday ? Combined with the early
morning premarket warning for MRK , and the recent
run-ups for PDLI , seemed early morning weakness was
a sign to jump in and pounce early .

If I had been following BGEN more closely and that
chain of events , I would have been shorting
a ton more BGEN friday morning...not good
when a company seems to change the tone of their
results from good to bad in just a day ...investors
kind of frown on switching numbers and indicators
overnight ....

BGEN doesn't sport that high a PE (35 approx) compared to
DNA's (somewhere near 600?),

XOMA lacks something
normally valuable to most companies
called ------> revenues...

XOMA fundies (from marketguide):

BRIEF: XOMA develops and manufactures antibody and other
protein biopharmaceuticals for disease targets that include
immunological and inflammatory disorders, infectious
diseases and cancer. For the 3 months ended 3/31/01,
revenues rose 11% to $2.9M. Net loss increased 21% to
$7.6M. Results reflect the recognition of certain license
and other fee payments received from Baxter and Onyx,
offset by increased product development expenses.


* I was thinking BGEN was short around $60 before , just
because of major decreasing net-revs & their pressing need
to get new drugs in the pipeline as older drug patents expire....
something all pharmies experience.

But many (not AFFX MDCC) bios had been bidding up recently ,
so I just watched from a safe distance, waiting for
some negative/positive developement. I wish BGEN well, but
I am a trader too , and wouldn't have wanted to go
long with this last report:

BGEN's fundies:

BRIEF: BGEN is a biopharmaceutical company primarily
engaged in the business of developing, manufacturing and
marketing drugs for human health care. BGEN currently
derives revenues from sales of AVONEX and from royalties on
worldwide sales by licensees. For the 3 months ended 3/01,
total revenues rose 9% to $237M. Net income decreased
41% to $72.1M. Results reflect an increase in the sales
volume of AVONEX, offset by decreased gains on securities.

stockcharts.com[m,a]daclyymy[pb50!b200][vc60][iUb14!La12,26,9]

not the greatest looking chart ...



To: aknahow who wrote (874)6/23/2001 10:23:59 AM
From: 2MAR$  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 208838
 
If you catch any new sugnificant news or spins on these Bios
feel free to post them if you have time ....

Here's one more recap for the crossfires BGEN found itself
in thurs/friday:
thestreet.com

* The scenario developing in biotech~battles for
research /discovery/market~dominance , especially
this one with BGEN/ DNA and Serono /BGEN is a great
learning scenario for anyone not too familiar
with them .