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Strategies & Market Trends : Pump's daily trading recs, emphasis on short selling -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Michail Shadkin who wrote (2788)6/24/2001 6:06:03 PM
From: tuck  Respond to of 6873
 
Michail,

I was looking at shorting IPIC myself, until I bounced the idea off of a couple of bioscience types. My own initial digging confirms that their lead compound pagoclone has good chances in a large market:

Message 15982702

and the posts before and after.

While the royalties aren't huge -- in the 10% range in part because partner Pfizer is footing the clinical bills -- neither is the burn, as you noted. So the earnings (or cash flow, more precisely) are likely to be very sensitive to variations in revenue. What had held the stock down was the potential for a negative legal earnings impact large enough to overwhelm this. That's gone, and now the stock, despite its run and all the red flags and history, can still be seen as undervalued relative to many biotechs. Playing with fundamental fire here at these levels; risk/reward high both long and short, IMHO. Surer ones around, I think, but I encourage folks to follow the links and then some, and think for themselves.

I have no position, and don't expect to try one soon, though I might consider going long should it retrace hard -- say to the 4s or worse -- without obvious justification.

Cheers, Tuck



To: Michail Shadkin who wrote (2788)6/25/2001 8:28:18 AM
From: xaver17  Respond to of 6873
 
Re: IPIC is a scam in my view

Lindsay Rosenwald, a famous biotech promoter, is the founder of IPIC, according to Asensio (ref. his book "sold short").

So I doubt Pagoclone will hit the market anytime soon.

Phase II/III was initiated in Nov. 1996, (ref. IPIC annual report 1996)

So this one will be interesting to watch.

Xaver.