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To: Proud_Infidel who wrote (48415)6/25/2001 6:09:12 PM
From: Proud_Infidel  Respond to of 70976
 
Cable modem subscribers to reach 57.5 million by 2005, says IDC
Semiconductor Business News
(06/25/01 17:47 p.m. EST)


FRAMINGHAM, Mass. -- The number of cable modem subscribers worldwide will increase eightfold to 57.5 million by 2005, compared to about 7.2 million in 2000, said International Data Corp. here today.

"Work-at-home employees and power Internet users sparked demand for cable modems in the residential market," said analyst Amy Harris, program manager with IDC's Broadband Markets and Technologies program. "Future growth will be driven by the prevalence of image-rich and video-rich applications on the Internet."

In 2000, cable modem subscriptions grew 178% from 1999, said the new IDC report.

In the U.S. market, the number of cable modem subscribers will reach 3.8 million in 2000, a growth of 171% from 1999, according to the Framingham research firm. The U.S. market represented 53% of worldwide cable users, but IDC believes cable modems will begin to lose ground to digital subscriber line (DSL) technology. This will lower the U.S. share of cable subscribers to 36% in the next few years, said the research firm.

Meanwhile, cable modem use in Western Europe is expected to increase from just 1 million in 2000 to almost 17.7 million in 2005, said the IDC report. Western Europe's share of cable modem subscribers will jump from 14% to 31% in that timeframe, IDC said.

"Industry consolidation and the increasing availability of broadband content are driving the rollout of cable modems in Western Europe," Harris said.

IDC said cable modems face a number of issues in the next four years, including scaling problems, installation and provisioning challenges, and increasing competition from other broadband technologies.