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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: westpacific who wrote (5320)6/25/2001 10:03:08 PM
From: Hawkmoon  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
DEBT IS GOOD.

It all depends on how it is invested. For instance, I would have little difficulty if the US government utilized those SSTF in such a way that if facilitated larger GDP growth by applying public sector funds to private market failure (highway construction and maintenance, or in technologies that would yield future economic spin-offs such as space exploration). Or even as part of a subsidization program for the building of dozens of nuclear power plants that would provide the energy for a change over to a hydrogen based economy.

That would be a productive use of government indebtedness, imo.

But given the fact that this not what is occurring, and the fact that personal indebtedness amongst Americans is so high, I believe that the money would be better off being given back to the people who earned it.

But the US public debt is also a bonus. US Treasuries are considered the safe haven for world capital. When times are tough, the tough buy US Treasuries which are backed by the full faith and credit of the US government (taxpayer).. But if you pay off the debt, there will be no US treasuries and this money will seek a different safe harbor, which imo, would be gold.

And seeing gold prosper at the expense of the USD is not something I believe is particularly healthy for an economy. Right now gold is tracking, and sometimes exceeding, the dollar and I don't mind that trend. But when people choose a shiny yellow metal over the economic potential that backs a major currency, we're all in a world of hurt.

And again, just look at how US intergovernmental holdings (private debt generally consisting of IOUs to the SSTF) have drastically increased?

This is the surplus being spent in the general government budget, being replaced with an IOU that will have to be repaid 10-20 years from now.

publicdebt.treas.gov

The figures are all there for you to see. And every dollar the government takes from our pockets is one less that the average US taxpayer can deploy to their own benefit.

Hawk



To: westpacific who wrote (5320)6/25/2001 11:11:01 PM
From: LLCF  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74559
 
<The fact remains, we had an opportunity to retire the debt over the past 20 years of the long boom and we failed to do that.>

I always wondered why you wouldn't run surplus' and save during the boom... what did we get 1/2 year of surplus so far??? LOL

DAK