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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Dealer who wrote (38209)6/26/2001 3:34:32 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 65232
 
dont intend to be sneid, but with 20c in fy02
and growth very questionable at this point...
wouldnt a forward PE of 30 be generous???

and CSCO reasonably priced at $6 per share???
even if eps comes to 30c, then $9 per share

at 18, it still shows almost a 100 PE
hard to fathom in this imminent recessionary environmt

stories like this convince me that turnaround bottom not imminent

several factors are keeping stocks up:::
- plenty of investment potential capital among boomers
(not going away)
- end of Cold War
(less wasted investment, recessions are briefer)
- Faith in Federal Reserve to forestall entire world economic slowdown
(certainly will be a positive force, but the world has a big economy)

/ JW