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Biotech / Medical : Biotech Lock-Up Expiration Hell Portfolio -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: keokalani'nui who wrote (196)6/26/2001 3:05:41 PM
From: scaram(o)uche  Respond to of 1005
 
sounds good to me, but Tuck's tough.

not a big fan of the company. however, with such a small delta between cash and MC, it's always very risky. good news or a big sector rally, and you can be toast.



To: keokalani'nui who wrote (196)6/27/2001 2:06:10 AM
From: tuck  Respond to of 1005
 
Wilder,

Shorting SGEN is worth exploring. My first question is: any expected news flow coming between now and unlock? Trial results or some such? I think we may get a rally as warnings season winds down, so perhaps SGEN will pop up once before being shorted into the unlock.

Obviously shorting BDAL was the right idea, just missed my target. I'd be pleased to hear of more of them, as there must some companies you guys pass on, and for good reason, on your way to picking longs. Those that aren't BLUE HP types, please try the "biotech short candidates" thread, which I feel is a little underutilized.

I'll throw up some SGEN links if you don't, and we'll dissect a little further.

Cheers, Tuck



To: keokalani'nui who wrote (196)6/27/2001 2:25:33 AM
From: tuck  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1005
 
Wilder,

This is more what I was looking for on MCLS: Emerald made noise about crystallizing GPCR surface proteins, and now someone has called their bluff. Will be watching very closely. Will it sell on the news? I think it will run up into the high 4s, low 5s, then back off and consolidate per market conditions.

>>CHICAGO and SAN DIEGO, June 26 /PRNewswire/ -- MediChem Life Sciences (Nasdaq: MCLS - news), a Chicago-based drug discovery technology and services company, and Neurocrine Biosciences (Nasdaq: NBIX - news), a San Diego-based biopharmaceutical discovery and development company, announced today that they have entered into a two-year collaborative agreement in proteomics for new drug development. The announcement was made at the BIO 2001 conference in San Diego, California.
Under the terms of this renewable agreement, MediChem will crystallize and determine high-resolution 3D structures of specific G-protein coupled receptors (GPCRs), known as CRF-1 receptors. MediChem will attempt to crystallize the receptors alone and in complex with ligands provided by Neurocrine. Preliminary studies have shown that Neurocrine's proprietary CRF-1 receptor antagonists may be effective in depression, anxiety and irritable bowel syndrome (IBS).

``This powerful, new collaboration with Neurocrine shows both the potential and direct applicability of structural proteomics, and the exciting things we are doing with these technologies at MediChem,'' said Michael T. Flavin, Ph.D., MediChem's president and CEO. ``We are working with clients to develop important new drugs that fight diseases affecting millions of people worldwide in a more timely fashion.''

``Neurocrine is a leader in the CRF area and already has a clinical candidate and many advanced leads being studied as potential new treatments for depression, anxiety, and IBS,'' said John Saunders, Neurocrine's vice president, Research (Chemistry). ``We are excited to begin collaborative efforts with MediChem to advance our understanding of the structure of the CRF receptor and hence of second generation antagonists.''

The collaboration will start from clones and ligands provided by Neurocrine. MediChem's Emerald BioStructures division will provide its EmeraldEngine(TM) structural proteomics platform of technologies and services, including: protein production, purification and crystallization, as well as X-ray diffraction data collection, crystallographic computations, and three-dimensional model building and refinement.

In consideration for work outlined in the agreement, MediChem will receive access fees, FTE funding, payments for completion of specified milestone events, and rights to technology, data and improvements surrounding its GPCR/high-throughput structural proteomics platform.

``GPCRs are the most important and potentially the most bountiful source of new drug targets,'' Flavin said. ``Membrane proteins are the 'Holy Grail' of structural biology. They represent a true challenge because they are very difficult to crystallize. MediChem, however, has the technology and expertise to accomplish this goal.''

GPCRs

GPCRs are one of the largest families of proteins encoded by human DNA, and are implicated in a number of diseases, including Parkinson's, Alzheimer's, asthma, myocardial ischaemia, hypertension, and cognitive impairment.

It is estimated that there are more than 1,000 GPCRs with potential human therapeutic value, yet only a relative few are currently being used as drug targets. Even so, more than 30 percent of drugs currently on the market act against this class of receptor. Drugs that target GPCRs account for more than $20 billion in annual sales.

GPCRs are membrane bound proteins, which are on the surface of cells making them the most accessible proteins for drug interaction. Using structural information derived through proteomics technologies such as MediChem's, scientists are able to visualize the drug compounds that will be the most effective against the target protein and have the least side effects -- a process known as structure-based drug design.

Craig Behnke, Ph.D., joined MediChem as a Research Scientist in Crystallography in December 2000. Behnke was part of the team that determined the crystal structure for rhodopsin, the first GPCR to be solved. The results were published as the cover story of the journal Science, on August 4, 2000.

X-ray Crystallography

MediChem has a proprietary user agreement with Argonne National Laboratory's Advanced Photon Source (APS) -- one of the world's most powerful X-ray beams. The agreement gives MediChem scientists access to the APS to collect proprietary X-ray diffraction data for its clients' projects. This process reduces the time needed to determine a protein's three-dimensional structure and thus accelerates the drug candidate identification process.

MediChem scientists translate the X-ray diffraction patterns into a high resolution rendering of the three-dimensional structure of its clients' target proteins. Determining the structure of a protein, once crystallized, used to take months or years; it may now take only a fraction of this time using MediChem's resources. Solving a protein's structure improves scientists' ability to optimize small molecule drugs that are directed toward the specific target, with the goal of developing safer and more effective drugs to treat disease.<<

snip

Accordingly, BLUE HP and Trickle are going to put a near term sell target of $4.9 on MCLS, with the idea of keeping 500 shares just in case, and of nibbling again in the low 3s. At that point, unless it happens very quickly, we might hold thereafter with the idea that, by then, pharma companies will have to start spending pretty darn soon. However, Merck's warning, which included a small reduction in R&D spending, is not a wonderful sign at this moment. therapeutic companies, less cyclical, will be traded longer, until their overhangs are relatively small.

Cheers, Tuck



To: keokalani'nui who wrote (196)6/28/2001 1:22:09 PM
From: tuck  Respond to of 1005
 
Some T/A color to Wilder's fundamental analysis of SGEN (BTW, nice thumbnail sketch there, Wilder):

siliconinvestor.com

Looks to me like it's basing, waiting for a trigger to go fill that little gap in the middle 8s. Resistance just above that. Let's suppose the summer rally is setting up and it goes there. Ought to be downhill the rest of the way, again pending a check of possible news flow & its tone.
If SGEN runs to high 8s, we're short, oh . . . 1000 shares @ $8.75. Anybody else have a take & or suggestion for entry target/position size?

Cheers, Tuck



To: keokalani'nui who wrote (196)12/8/2003 10:34:35 AM
From: tuck  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1005
 
SGEN well over $5 now and easily shortable. Near highs of a couple of years. Have you or anyone been following this one? Should we short it now?

Cheers, Tuck