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To: Davy Crockett who wrote (72700)7/2/2001 12:38:30 AM
From: d:oug  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116791
 
recession = your neighbor loses his job, depression = you...

in the recession case your neighbor can not obtain a job
in the same profession with same paycheck, and either
goes on unemployment until benefits run out and then
either gets under-employed or unskilled employed
for a paycheck that is far below that prior good job

just need a reality check here

the depression of 1929 was before my times
eventhought it was described in history text books
and the most accurate facts were in print
those i obtained through the mainstream media like tv
then and still to this day
are presented in a way to catch and keep eyeballs
for that often mentioned reason
to sell advertisements
with accuracy a distance second place for reason
so my impressions of 1929 was
90% of working people out of work
but in reality i think it was 30% out of work
and of those 70% that continued to hold a job
it included a combination of
same job same paycheck
same job lower paycheck
same job with reduced hours
any other job with reduced paycheck

as for the change in life styles caused by the 1929 crash
what was it?
everyone ate enough food
probably the same amount as before the crash
just different stuff
cheaper things and less of things
less steak
more potatoes
less beer
more pop and sugar water
walked more, drove car less
no eat out, eat in
no vacation out of state or country
etc.

depression in name only
hyped by the mainstream press
they interview 100 people
70 have jobs
30 do not
of the 30 that do not
find the most heart-ache story line
and thats the example used by mainstream press

tooting gata bill's cafe has lots of Doom & Gloom commentaries

if they all came true
total chaos
blood running in every street on planet Earth
no jobs, no currency, no order
martial law, probably not since military will collapse
and from this would be
easy pickings for the Devil
very easy
the streets everywhere, on fire
people fighting to the death over food and water
no laws etc etc etc
i don't think so
a compromise?
no
just a simple lost of value for all paper fiat currency
no gold standard to allow an exchange into physical gold
via the government
but you will be able to buy real gold
a self imposed, free market exchange
$600 or $6,000
whatever it is few will exchange for it
because even if that 10 cents cup of coffee long ago
today cost 1 dollar
it will cost 10 dollars
but unlike 1929 there will be a difference
then people saved
had money in the bank
and then, the evil credit card did not exist
only debt then for average folk was car & home loans
two things necessary
unlike today's credit card debt
the stuff people have today, not really really needed
not needed for a decent standard of living
1929 a home had one tv
today, each family member seems to have one
one in each room
some with each having a vcr hooked up
all on credit card debt
not needed
able to lose
or simply stop buying stuff
extra and not needed

so i say if collapse does happen
people's standard of living will not suffer
they have too much "over" required for a decent living
sell all cars so a house hold has only one
kids take the bus to highschool, not drive their own car

one tv per household
etc
just like pre 1929
lots better than most third world folks have today

so let the crash happen
all that extra money will take care of itself
it will devalue itself
worth 1/10 as in buying power
and prices may even increase as supply of goods decrease
less jobs making cars and tvs
people make less money
less goods created from less those types of jobs
dollar worth less
at same time prices increase with less demand & less supply
finally
a way to prevent another printing press out of control happening
will be the question
how to do it
don't really need a gold standard
just good standards created to insure good practices
don't let the evil credit card monster live
pay as you go
only credit for what history has shown as productive & healthy
car & home loan
business loans
stuff that makes or creates value
increase standard of living
but guess then, what is a good standard?
1 car, 2, 3 ?
might be what gets the job done
where job is to create value
not so teenagers can drive themselves to school
stop that and reduce number of cars that need to be made
and that reduces the number of high paying Detroit jobs
yes
but thats life
not everyone can live in the upper middle class
but everyone has the opportunity to obtain an education
and gain a skill needed to create value
and from that
everyone taking responsibility to obtain skills
can yes, obtain middle class economic status
from their skills to create value
rather than by force using a Union that gets them x5 times
what their skill is worth, and as crap flows downhill, those
who are not in a Union(for the workers) who make minimum
wages have to pay higher prices for Union made goods,
like cars and other needed stuff. But then if everyone was
a member of a Union making high wages, then it would result
as the same as if no one was in a Union, as prices for all goods
needed by all people would increase to pay all the workers.

force and bad laws hurt only those "not included" in the crime

so let the bubble pop
let all world economies crash
its only paper
paper wealth
paper pay check
life will go on
same as always
70% still will have a job
same paycheck worth less
smaller paycheck worth lots less
no more drive car 1/2 hour to work
take 2 hours using bus or train or subway
work more hours to keep a lessened standard of living
no chaos
no blood in the streets
the only difference today v 1929
where is the money
where is the wealth
some real, some not
some worth only the paper stated on
wealth = land, buildings, goods and service
food, water, metals to create goods
and precious metals that are stores of values
and rare gems that are really rare in quanity available
unlike diamonds where supply is controlled by DeBeers

so i see no problem
too big to fail does not apply to whole countries
as no one can bail out the usa
the world can not bail out the use
not when its worth is contained in the worth of the usa dollar
unless all those nations will accept receiving the full blow
all nations except the usa take a hit
lessen their each currency against the dollar by 100
so that when the usa citizen finds its dollar lessen by 1/10
its only internally
and the usa citizen will still be able to support
their high standard of living buying cheap goods overseas
which may destroy the usa companies that produce in usa
unless these workers accept third world wages
and then...
o what a tangeled web we weave
when we do not tie a value to fiat money
and create credit outside the Fed

but then, all the above from i knowing no economics etc.

so maybe the only question to ask
is to direct it at yourself
if the savings i have in the bank was devalued
by 1/10
and/or
my debt load could not be serviced
causing me to lose home, car etc to pay back to banks
then where am i in this picture after a crash
knowing that those Powers that Be
the big banks etc
too big to fail
will have the full support of the government
to protect their worth
using the laws
inforced by the police
so that the government can continue
and exist as is
still full of mistakes and corruption
so
too big to fail
just a way for bad corrupt government
to save themselves
to continue
so for sure
if we get to that point talked about
bubble pops big time
markets crash hard
the usa government will step in
to save us
to help us
but really, to save itself
itself being the politicians currently elected
so they can keep their jobs
as the average usa citizen pays the price for their mistakes
but then, these are those who elected them
and kept them in power
so maybe it will be justice served
to the right people
the people who did wrong
did not think as Rarebird tells us
who let others decide for us
for their benefit and agenda as government leaders

but then
if too big to fail was not done
and people kicked out the government folks
like Alan
and pointed a finger at past Movers & Shakers
like Not Worth a Rubin & Summers
then what? do these mindless thinking usa folks
understand what they did wrong? probably not
so, do we get lucky
and get gold standard type people put into power
or get a USSR, China type combination with that
not being knowned until years later, as up front
they will tell us, the new government, that changes
will be made to PROTECT YOU, yes you the citizen
will be protected from evil bankers and those business
type people that worked you too hard etc.
Sure, the usa citizen will eat that us,
requires no thinking, no thoughts,
just let these people obtain power
of the laws and police
to protect us
save us
o ya

well, maybe tooting bill's articles are on target
hope not
not for me
but for others and next generations
as i am protected/safe
and have no children etc

doug

Peter,

nteresting... r u assuming that we r going back to the '70's here exchange U.S. Dollars for Gold a la Charles DeGaulle? or r u suggesting that some country or derivative fund will blow up & cause further declines in the stock market & put the current fiat currency in question?