SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : Compaq -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: PCSS who wrote (91997)7/2/2001 7:01:33 AM
From: hlpinout  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 97611
 
July 2, 2001

Printer-friendly

Discuss this article
Interview:
One On One With Capellas
In an interview with InformationWeek senior editor Paul McDougall, Compaq CEO Michael Capellas explains the rationale behind the company's strategy, acknowledging that it's not without risk.

By Paul McDougall (paulmcd@cmp.com)

n an effort to boost profits, Compaq last week unveiled plans for a major push into lucrative businesses such as IT services and software, while backing away from its high-maintenance, low-return Alpha chip businesses--opting to use Intel Itanium instead. In an interview with InformationWeek senior editor Paul McDougall, Compaq CEO Michael Capellas explained the rationale behind the strategy, acknowledged that it's not without risk, and noted that Compaq's future success will depend on its ability to integrate cutting-edge hardware design with leading-edge services and support. What follows is a transcript of the interview.

InformationWeek: Moving from Alpha and Mips chips to Intel Itanium chips for all your high-end servers is a bold move that will have a significant impact on your customers' technology road maps. Is this being driven primarily by financial or technology considerations?

It's a technology decision. It allows us to have a single architecture all the way through the entire product family. When you think about the future of the Web, you know you'll have different platforms. You'll have very large data stores, up to 100 terabytes; high-performance simulation capabilities; application servers; and edge-of-the-Net servers.

Having a single architecture underneath makes all the sense in the world.

InformationWeek: At one point, Compaq had already decided to port Tru64 Unix onto Intel's 64-bit chips, then you backed off that plan. Now you've come full circle again. When did you make this latest decision to go with Intel?

The move to do this was part of an ongoing dialog around architectures that we've been having for some time. There is no question that the advances that Intel has made have made the decision more compelling. Two years ago if you look at where the Itanium family was vs. today, you have to take into consideration the progress that's been made around Itanium.

InformationWeek: Are you concerned that this decision makes you just another box builder that has to compete solely on price?

The real question is, where does our differentiation lie? As the progress line between our 64-bit technology and Intel's drew closer, it became a logical move to go with Intel.

InformationWeek: What's going to drive buyers to 64-bit systems?

We've been most able to take advantage of 64-bit technology in applications that are able to use it--and that's in very large cache applications. For example, in the supercomputer world where we've had a string of great successes, such as Pittsburgh Supercomputing, Celera Genomics, Japan Atomic Energy Commission, and the Australian Supercomputing Institute. Most applications until now have had less of a need for 64-bit architectures. We've been primarily living in a 32-bit application world. As you get into the next generation of applications, the belief is that we will have much more complex data--streaming audio and streaming video. Ultimately, you need larger and larger cache sizes. Much of the future of the Web will be about distributed content, which will increase the need for 64 bit. This is really a question more about the market demand generated by content delivery.

InformationWeek: If the market for 64-bit is exploding, why cede that business to Intel?

What this really says is that Intel has great capabilities and are a world-class provider of chips. They have a huge research arm, they have huge engineering capabilities. So the question is, what is in the best interest of the company from an engineering and go-to-market point of view? There is also a message from a financial point of view: Does making chips make sense in terms of where we create the most value? Is it what we do best? Is a company going to try to compete with Intel just to try to produce the chip? That's not a great way to differentiate yourself. At the end of the day, nobody is going to be able to do it all--develop world-class systems engineering, develop world-class applications, world-class services, and world-class engineering on chips. That's an illogical premise.

InformationWeek: Except for the decision to outsource chips, your strategy sounds similar to what Lou Gerstner has done to restore profitability to IBM. Were you inspired by that at all?

Definitely yes. As we look at the IBM model, and as we look at what customers are looking for--the platforms themselves, the standard building blocks--these are the things that you will be able to get from partners. On top of that, you differentiate with system engineering, memory management, caching, and all the technical services around it, as well as the ability to do interoperability and to offer a solution and services arm to deliver it. But this is not just about becoming a services company; that is not at all our intention. Our combination is to blend superior systems engineering and services, so it results in the kinds of platforms that we think are going to be the future of the Internet.

InformationWeek: Of course, Compaq's biggest problem is that you're losing money--to the tune of $82 million in the first quarter--on your PC business. Compaq still derives most of its revenue from PCs, so how are you going to fix this?

I believe it's still a good business to be in.

You're going to see the drive to lighter, simpler devices. People are going to want to buy access solutions. We sell the iPaq Pocket PC, together with software that allows doctors to manage health care right on the spot. That's attached to a ProLiant server that's attached to the patient care system. That's an example of an overall solution that was actually led by the handheld.

We continue to work on video streaming. We have video-streaming servers which are able to do that, and the next generation is the personal computer with very strong capabilities around stereo speakers and high-resolution graphics. There is going to be a great market for tying the access and the infrastructure together.

Secondly, people will continue to invest in different kinds of innovative access devices. We know that wireless mobility is going to be a whole new opportunity. The explosive growth of the Pocket PC has told us that the wireless world is real. Handhelds are a new category. So we as an industry have to do more creative things to create these solutions where people have reasons to buy a PC other than it just has a faster processor. I'm going to buy a new device because it gives me new kinds of functionality.

But, to answer the fundamental question, we absolutely have to improve the efficiency and the profitability of the PC business. It's still a $20 billion business for us.

InformationWeek: What opportunities do you see in the commercial desktop business?

There is a huge market for buying PCs as a utility. The utility concept is similar to storage on demand and servers on demand. The last thing users want to do is go through this crazy rebid cycle. They want to buy a PC as a utility, pay a monthly user fee. They want us to design the architecture and do the installation, the refresh, and the maintenance, and this allows internal IT shops to go on and do other things.

InformationWeek: Is it possible that Compaq might exit some segments of the PC business?

We are going to be in the access business for sure. It's our heritage, it's fundamental, and I think the integration of the access business is extremely important to us. But I think we have to step up and lead it in terms of developing alternate form factors, in terms of ease of use, and from the standpoint of integration and creative marketing around what the customer wants. The customer is tired of all these PC battles. They want simplicity, and we can help define that. We actually can be one of the ones that define the next generation.

I think the access business is going to continue to be a very strong business. People will continue to buy in new and creative ways, and when we start streaming other forms of content. When we really do streaming audio and video, which is going to come a lot faster than people think, the integration between the infrastructure and the access device is going to become increasingly important.

InformationWeek: People may be tired of the PC battles, but they're probably not tired of the bargains they're getting as PC makers try to slash each other's throats by cutting prices. How can you restore profits in such an environment?

I think there is every reason to believe that prices are going to continue to drop. That is the nature of this whole business. The next battle on price/performance is going to be done through engineering: simpler devices and fewer components on devices that are legacy-free. The trick is to engineer different kinds of solutions.

Take, for example, the iPaq Pocket PC. There is a real lesson not just in the device, which was the next generation in the convergence of the home and business. You can do your E-mail on it while listening to music. There are signs that people will pay for improved functionality or to be able to do something new. They're not going to pay simply to do more of what they are doing today.

InformationWeek: In addition to exiting the chip business, you're launching a services push. But the Digital Equipment Corp. acquisition failed to make you a services leader and things didn't go smoothly. What's going to be different this time as you buy up services companies?

Within the company we don't even talk about Digital integration anymore. That is long gone. And I'm not going to comment about my predecessors. I have a very simple rule: You work with the culture, not against it. We've managed to very quietly integrate some other companies, and it's gone just fine. We've come a long way. Digital was huge. That was a foundation-changing, wrack-the-rafters, entirely different business model. What we're looking for now is things that naturally fit or extend businesses we're in. We look for service companies that have vertical capabilities that will be natural extensions of what we do.

InformationWeek: How do you go about incorporating the culture of an acquired company into your own, especially when it may be coming from a very different business model?

You have to make very clear to everybody how an acquisition fits into the strategic plan. You have to take some time to understand the company's management team. This is not rocket science; you have to make sure the cultural fit is there. And you have to be able to understand what cultural things need to stay in each of the companies. The culture in our consumer group is not the same as the culture in our Himalayas group, and that's OK. The guy who's working on the next generation of fault tolerance isn't particularly interested in the color of the panel on an MP3 player. We've done a good job of having an overlying set of values and having people work within that.

InformationWeek: I'd like to close by going back to the Intel decision. Basically, you're betting your high-end server business on technology that has virtually no track record. Are you comfortable with that?

When you make partnerships, just like when you make acquisitions, you do them with world-class people. There is so much concentration in our business on this week, this month, this quarter. The companies that will ultimately be successful are the ones that are capable of looking beyond that--though I have to admit that I spend a lot of time these days looking at this week, this month, this quarter.

There is no doubt in my mind that Intel has got great engineering, they've got great management, and they will be successful. Will there be some potential hiccups along the way? Sure there will. One of the things we're very good about when it comes to partnerships is that we understand those ups and downs. There might be a problem on any given day, but our relationship with Intel is absolutely rock solid. They'll help us and we'll help them, and over a longer horizon there is no question in my mind that this is the winning architecture. I'm very comfortable with this.



To: PCSS who wrote (91997)7/2/2001 9:24:07 AM
From: Elwood P. Dowd  Respond to of 97611
 
United States July 2, 2001

Compaq Enterprise

Dear Compaq Customer,
These are challenging times for many of us, but one thing I hear consistently from customers around the world is your continued commitment to invest in information technology as one of the key drivers of growth. Companies are looking for solutions that deliver higher levels of performance and reliability, improved flexibility and lower costs while also protecting your existing IT investments.

Compaq is committed to delivering the solutions that meet your most demanding enterprise needs. A good example is the technology agreement we just announced with Intel. We will enhance our already-strong partnership to accelerate the availability of next generation enterprise servers and advanced 64-bit solutions based on the Intel Itanium™ processor family. There are three key elements of the agreement:

Compaq will standardize our 64-bit enterprise server product lines on the Itanium processor family by 2004. For the next few years we will continue to execute and even accelerate our Alpha product roadmap, including performance enhancements to the current EV6 microprocessor and new systems based on the upcoming EV7 architecture. We will also deliver speedups in our NonStop Himalaya systems running the MIPS architecture.


We will begin immediately to port the Tru64 UNIX™ , OpenVMS™ and NonStop Kernel™ operating systems and development tools to the Itanium architecture. We have already planned wide support for both Windows 2000 and Linux for Itanium-based servers. As a result of source file compatibility, existing applications on NonStop Himalaya servers and AlphaServer systems will run seamlessly with Itanium-based Compaq servers.


Compaq will transfer our Alpha microprocessor technology and engineers - backed by more than 10 years of technical leadership in 64-bit computing solutions - to Intel to accelerate ongoing development of the Itanium processor family.
At the heart of this agreement is Compaq's commitment to your success. It will enable us to deliver both unparalleled performance and price/performance while also protecting the investments you've made in Compaq's 64-bit systems and fault tolerant platforms for years to come. The result will be systems and solutions that offer greater flexibility as well as faster time to solution and profitability.

I believe this agreement represents the best of both worlds: advanced systems engineering expertise, clustering technology and global services from Compaq, and leading microprocessor design and volume manufacturing from Intel.

It also supports our mission to deliver superior value to our customers through innovative products, integrated into solutions and delivered globally. We have already established Compaq as an industry leader in product innovation and global delivery. Our vision now is to be the leading IT solutions provider.

This means you will see us enhance and extend our global services capabilities, from IT architecture and mission critical support to outsourcing and financing. We will expand our ability to meet customer needs in specific industries, including telecommunications, financial services, retail, government and education, health care, life sciences, manufacturing, and media and entertainment. We will also build on our strengths in key horizontal markets, including wireless, zero latency enterprise and messaging and collaboration.

As I look to the future, I believe the ability to deliver high performance solutions - including fault tolerance, industry-leading systems performance, high application throughput and high-volume Web servers - on a single microprocessor architecture is nothing but good news for all of us.

I want to thank you for your business and underscore our commitment to make the transition to a new generation of Itanium-based systems as seamless as possible. We look forward to building on our partnership with you.

Sincerely,

Michael D. Capellas
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
Compaq Computer Corporation



To: PCSS who wrote (91997)7/2/2001 9:32:35 AM
From: Elwood P. Dowd  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 97611
 
Prudential Cuts Compaq Estimates, Says Apple May Miss Top Line
By TSC Staff

7/2/01 9:04 AM ET

Prudential Securities analyst Kimberly Alexy lowered her revenue and earnings estimates for Compaq (CPQ:NYSE - news - commentary), and she said Apple (AAPL:Nasdaq - news - commentary) could possibly miss its top-line forecast for the current quarter.

Additionally, the analyst said aggressive pricing continues to pressure Gateway's (GTW:NYSE - news - commentary) margins, but she indicated that the PC maker could likely break even for the second fiscal quarter



To: PCSS who wrote (91997)7/3/2001 10:29:40 AM
From: Elwood P. Dowd  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 97611
 
Tuesday July 3, 10:00 am Eastern Time
Forbes.com
PC Industry Looking For A Sales Surge
By Arik Hesseldahl

Among the companies involved in the PC market, there's a major marketing offensive brewing designed to get you to buy a new personal computer before the year is up.

You can see it starting to happen, with the latest PC processor chip unveiled by semiconductor giant Intel . While the speed bumps it announced to its Pentium 4 processor and Celeron line of chips resembled many previous speed-bump announcements, as is often the case with Intel's spin, you ain't seen nothing yet.
ADVERTISEMENT



Yesterday it kicked up the top clock speeds of its Pentium 4 chip to 1.8 gigahertz, but also said that it will soon boost the top speed to 2 GHz before the end of the year. These speed upgrades are becoming increasingly routine matters. The last one, which took the Pentium 4 to 1.7 GHz, happened on April 23. This time PC makers like Gateway and Dell Computer , which often try to make their own marketing push when a new chip launches, were unusually quiet.

Everyone connected to the PC industry must be trying to rest up until after the summer. There are high hopes for September and October. That's when students heading back to school may buy lots of personal computers, which would restore some health to the balance sheets of both PC manufacturers and chip companies. October also brings the official release of Microsoft 's Windows XP operating system. Strong PC sales in the fall quarter could lead to even better sales in the holiday season.

The PC industry could use some good news. Intel, along with the rest of the semiconductors industry, is weathering the worst year in memory. Yesterday, the Semiconductors Industry Association grimly announced that chip sales declined even further in May, to $12.7 billion from $13.7 the month before, and $15.9 billion in May of 2000. Meanwhile, analysts have been cutting their ratings on stock in PC makers like Gateway and Compaq .

But hopes aside, any sales gains that do materialize will probably be modest. Most people who have bought a computer in the last three years aren't ready to upgrade yet, especially in the uncertain economic environment. No matter who you are, a PC is a major purchase that can probably be put off for several months. That's true for big companies too.

Only a truly compelling new capability will make buyers open their wallets enough to turn the industry around. The Internet got people excited in 1998 and 1999, and that coincided with a cycle of unusually low PC prices at the same time. This spurred sales volumes that won't likely be seen again for some time--no matter how the chip inside the computer is marketed.

Related Links at Forbes.com