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To: Uncle Frank who wrote (44092)	7/4/2001 1:00:55 AM
From: straight life	Respond to of 54805

cdma2000 1x subscribers turn 3 million this year By Kim, Tae-gyu Wednesday, July 04, 2001 (borrowed from our own Voop; lifted from another, excited, thread: nice numbers, uf? How do they compare w/GPRS, Eric?) The number of cdma2000 1x subscribers is expected to turn 3 millions by the end of this year. According to mobile phone service operators, the price of phone terminals is likely to drop around July when cdma2000 1x contents are scheduled to make debuts. As a result, the number of cdma2000 1x network users is also expected to increase up to 3 to 3.5 millions by the end of this year. The forecasted figure is a 7 to 8 times increase compared to the number of current users as of the end of June, which remains at 379,000, or 1.4% of the total mobile phone subscribers. Service operators initially estimated that the number would increase up to 4 millions within this year. However, as the supply of terminals delayed in the first half due to manufacturers' business conditions, they adjusted the market scale for this year market at about 3 millions. SK Telecom, which launched cdma2000 1x terminal supply in October last year, announced that it secured 320,000 subscribers as of June 20. In particular, PCS operators are rushing to the cdma2000 1x service market. And the volume of terminal sales has recently doubled since manufacturers started to provide products in full gear in May this year. "Samsung Electronics' cdma2000 1x model, 'SCH-X120,' was released in the market in April and the number of subscribers soared from the following month," said a source from SK Telecom. The company has set this year's target at 2.5 millions and is gearing up for full-scale marketing in the latter half. KTF and LG Telecom started to attract cdma2000 1x subscribers in May and have secured 35,000 and 12,000 respectively by the end of June. SK Shinsegi Telecom, which lunched the cdma2000 1x service in February this year, recorded 12,000 users as of the end of June. KTF plans to lure more than 1.2 millions by the end of this year, by accelerating terminal supplies as well as building base stations in remote areas (eup or myeon) in the second half. LG Telecom is also poised to increase the number of cdma2000 1x users as many as possible, by creating demand among new subscribers. "cdma2000 1x terminals are currently in short supply throughout sales agencies," said a source from a service operator. "Once makers start to supply terminals in full swing, the number of subscribers is likely to sharply increase," he added Message 16028937 PS- to Tekboy, from fuckedcompany fuckedcompany.com and while it's of course sad, what with lost jobs and dreams and the like, a little schadenfreude puts just the glint of a gleam and the smallest of smiles on my face: Bouncey bouncey Metricom, which makes that high-speed wireless Ricochet thing, filed chapter 11 bankruptcy. They lost $500 million dollars. $500,000,000 dollars. $500,000,000 dollars. $500,000,000 dollars. When: 7/3/2001 Company: Metricom Severity: 100 - new hall of fame inductee! Points: 200

To: Uncle Frank who wrote (44092)	7/4/2001 1:34:36 PM
From: Eric L	Respond to of 54805

Frank, << I'd be more interested in how many subs there are on gprs systems >> Just as we saw no figures on subs for the 3 Korean carriers for the first 6 months of "commercial" operation of 1xRTT in Korea, until the Samsung Digevent presentation in April. which stated that through end of March there were 47,000 Korea subs, no figures have yet been published for GPRS. The "unofficial" Korean numbers through June 20, 2001 as reported yesterday by Korea eTimes are: SKT 320,000 KTF 35,000 LG 12,000 SKST 12,000 ------- Total 379,000 1xRTT is comparatively easy compared to GPRS, subs wise with only 4 1xRTT networks commercially launched, compared to >50 for GPRS, to get a handle on. Be assured that EMC Cellular has the GPRS numbers, but they may not announce them till late November or early December, when they do a warmup for the most attended session in Cannes, by previewing their numbers at IBC's "GSM in North America" which they have done now for 6 consecutive years. We may also see some handset sales numbers out of Garner's Dataquest a little earlier than this, but this will be shipments and shipments don't immediately into subs. If I had to take a guess right now, I would guess that GPRS subs is probably <200,000. Until May, there was only one GPRS prototype (Motorola's p7389 which became the p7389i - 'p' standing for prerelease and 'i' standing for improved (prerelease) - which is now called the T260 in its production release, in commercial use, and these were heavily rationed and spread around to carrier customers. This is very comparable to the 1xRTT SK-IM 2300 which was produced in an early production run of 20,000 and which until 1st of 2001 was the only 1xRTT handset available until Samsung released the SCH-100. As vendors ramp to production models we'll see the same type of effect we are seeing in Korea since Samsung launched the SCH-X120 in Korea in April. Nokia is suggesting that 5% of unit volume in handsets this year will be GPRS or 1xRTT (what most research firms call 2.5G). That's 20 million to 25 million subs, and that shipments, not subs. Nokia's intelligence is pretty good, and lets say that conservatively 70% make it in to subscribers hands, that's 14 to 18 million subs, for 1xRTT & GPRS, split maybe 40% 1xRTT (5.5 to 7 million 1xRTT) and 60% GPRS (8 to 11 million). That’s just a WAG. << what the handset battery life is >> Don't have a clue yet, but we'll be seeing reports shortly. Any standard pushes the technology envelope, and battery technology and power amplifier technology affect this critical element. Power amplifiers are coming along faster than batteries. For this reason the initial commercial GPRS handsets will predominately have 1, or 2, timeslots down, (rather than 3 or 4) and 1 up (rather than 2). This of course conserves battery but limits data rate, and the product mix and the performance in this area will start to change dramatically later this year and throughout 2002. << are any gprs systems that are fcc approved at this time >> I do not know. I root around many funny places, but never, never, never, on that particular portion of the fcc web site, although I have a threadmate that does and he must be covered ith cobwebs. When we see GPRS handsets in VoiceStream, Cingular, or AWS stores we will know that the FCC has type approved for SAR, interference, and other factors. FCC of course more stringent than many other (but not all) regulatory bodies, on crucial measurements. Best, - Eric -