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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jerome who wrote (48705)7/4/2001 11:55:31 AM
From: James Calladine  Respond to of 70976
 
ARE YOU DEAD WRONG...?

well, not if:

-- the tech companies that have warned are even more pessimistic when they report
-- the others that haven't warned relative to this quarter give new and downwards guidance for the future
-- the semi companies look even more shocking than what was thought
-- INTC starts to indicate that their big CAPEX plans do not continue at that level, but diminished levels
-- semi btb comes in at another low figure and people start talking more about some other letter of the alphabet rather than v-shaped recovery
-- we are back in a mode of nothing but bad news
-- people decide "bad news = sell"
-- NAZ composite tanks to 1600's and maybe lower
-- new lows put in for most semi-equip stocks
-- then, recovery in market based on rather more traditional valuations
-- much less trust of the "G" aspects of PEG
-- you find out what your other two options are (ggg)

Namaste!

Jim

Namaste!

Jim



To: Jerome who wrote (48705)7/4/2001 12:16:24 PM
From: daryll40  Respond to of 70976
 
Jerome,

I was NOT, in any way, saying that you were wrong. I guess I just have learned that there's ALWAYS a bull case and a bear case and I was giving the bull case since you gave the bull case. Yeah, I hope I'm right and you're wrong but it pays (big time over the last 18 months) to heed a valid warning and yours was a good argument.

Buy...hold...pray....

Daryll40