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Strategies & Market Trends : MARKET INDEX TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MITA -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: SGJ who wrote (8056)	7/4/2001 9:42:25 PM
From: James F. Hopkins	Respond to of 19219

It's still a work in progress, and I'm not sure where it will take me, ( or where I'm going ) Coming from is no problem 1 I take the daily Total Assets and divide by the Nav to get the amount of shares out. 2 the daily % change of the amount of shares out times the NAV gives me MONEY that went in/out of the fund. 3 I sum up the money over time (in&out) and compared that with with the Total Asset change. 2- 1/2 I over looked and that's the why of the OPPS, The Total Assets change has to have a correction applied to account for the difference in the amount of shares out from start to end in that time window. 4 I just did that in my sheet and it makes better sense, at least to me. Last I just started this mess yesterday and with all the TA data I had to collect a piece ( post ) at a time I'm wore out ------------------------ One thing I can see is timing these funds is not for who can't really really get into numbers. The vast majority of the Timers are losing their arse, except for the Long OTC fund. That bunch seems to have their head on OK. however in the same window of time March 26 to July 3rd they made about half what they would have had they stayed pat. ------------------ So far all the other funds have killed the vast majority of market timers, if not the majority then one or two VERY VERY BIG Traders got took to the cleaners. As lot of money went to money heaven when you look at the sum of shares bought/sold and then the net move. ---------------------- More L8r. Jim