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Strategies & Market Trends : Commodities - The Coming Bull Market -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: craig crawford who wrote (463)7/6/2001 9:00:06 PM
From: Box-By-The-Riviera™  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1643
 
Message 16040429



To: craig crawford who wrote (463)7/6/2001 9:20:51 PM
From: maceng2  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 1643
 
Craig.. thanks

you have obviously put some work into this stuff...I need to do some work to catch up

rgds,

pearly



To: craig crawford who wrote (463)7/7/2001 9:07:29 PM
From: craig crawford  Respond to of 1643
 
JULY 9, 2001

Sweet Anticipation
Sugar prices should start moving up

interactive.wsj.com

By Cheryl Strauss Einhorn

A low-risk buying opportunity. That's what it looks like in the sugar market right now with prices at just 8.5 cents per pound. For while consumption is steady, increasing along with population growth, prices are usually determined by supplies, and this year it looks like the crop may not be as large as initially intimated.
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And it is not just Brazil's weather that could interfere with that nation's sugar crop; the government also plays a paramount role in determining how much sugar is to be made available for the world market. The reason: fuel prices.

This year's sky-high oil and gasoline prices have made many a motorist unhappy. To ameliorate this situation, the government in Brazil mandates that a certain percentage of the country's sugar be used to make fuel alcohol each year to be consumed domestically. Whatever is left over -- the exportable surplus -- "will be the key to the future of this market," says Sanik.

Brazil's government mandates a certain alcohol/gasoline ratio, which fluctuates based on the prices of the underlying commodities. This year, the government has boosted that ratio to 22% from 20% in recent months. The difference decreases sugar exports by one million tons, or 0.75% of the 130 million tons produced worldwide each year.



To: craig crawford who wrote (463)7/8/2001 12:02:08 PM
From: craig crawford  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1643
 
July 8, 2001

A Strong Dollar Clouds Prospects for Quick Rebound
nytimes.com

By RICHARD W. STEVENSON

WASHINGTON, July 7 — More than six months after the Federal Reserve began battling to reverse the economic slowdown in the United States, economists and business executives say an unexpected rise in the value of the dollar is complicating the prospects for a rebound.
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In the last few weeks alone, several prominent companies — including DuPont, Minnesota Mining and Manufacturing, Coca-Cola and Nike — have cited the strong dollar in explaining profit shortfalls or reductions in their earnings expectations.
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But in this case the squeeze on exporters from the dollar is combining with weak demand from slumping economies at home and abroad to put particularly intense pressure on American manufacturers, which have borne the brunt of the slowdown. In response, industrial companies have laid off hundreds of thousands of workers since last summer and have been the main contributors to the rise in the unemployment rate, which reached 4.5 percent last month, up from a low of 3.9 percent in October.