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Non-Tech : Ashton Technology (ASTN) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Rob W who wrote (3899)7/10/2001 12:05:16 PM
From: mst2000  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4443
 
Rob - One other thing - Mary is basing her 2-month "maximum useful life" prediction on cash on hand - whereas the financial data also reflected "securities available for sale" (publicly traded treasury bonds and corporate bonds, according to a prior SEC filing) of close to $3 Million in addition to "cash on hand" -- which extends that "life" by at least another 2 months, assuming zero revenue. Add $100,000.00 in income for each 10 Million revenue shares traded on the system (and they are on pace to exceed 10 Million shares this week -- with all the recently added contra-liquidity, it should be interesting to see if volumes continue to increase).

You nailed it on what the 70 Million in liquidity represents -- this is just what 3rd party "committers" are prepared to do every day in matching unmatched orders. The idea is to draw more order flow into the system. I'm sure ASTN will be sharing a higher fee with the committers - probably approaching the 5 cent a share fee charged by brokers for synthetic VWAP trading (time slicing) with the liquidity providers, but if they can keep merely 2 cents a share of a 4-5 cent fee on a two-sided transaction, that would maintain the 1 cent a share average they use to project revenue. But it does not preclude natural matching, and the whole point is to draw more and more liquidity to the system in order to provide a venue where natural matching eventually becomes the dominant form of execution. This has been a continuous effort for 2 years now (to get committers to step up and commit to this level of liquidity) -- and the SEC approval of the rule amendment to PHLX Rule 237 specifically contemplates this kind of trade, it was built into the system for just this reason.

Lastly, there is no question that the 60-day delay between trading and payment for trading can easily be bridged on a short term line-of-credit/loan basis from a commercial bank, given the highly collectible nature of the accounts receivable. If they are trading at break even levels or higher, they will be able to borrow short term against their receivables to stay operational. I still think they will renegotiate the equity line or come up with an alternative, if they haven't already done it (but have not announced it yet). We shall see.

I still can't understand why she is so anxious to see it fail, but there is no need for her to blow the risks out of proportion to reality. The legitimate financial concerns that have existed have been more than sufficient to keep the stock price under $1.00 for the past few weeks, and hovering at or near $1 for the past 6 months -- but that can change if volumes continue to grow, and these issues get solved, and nothing she says will affect that outcome. As the pieces start coming together more and more, she posts more and more often and with increasing shrillness. It makes you wonder.

Have a great week.

MST



To: Rob W who wrote (3899)7/10/2001 12:25:17 PM
From: mmmary  Respond to of 4443
 
You guys are civil today, what is up?

No personal attacks this morning. Did you get instructions from above? Fred doesn't want to look foolish anymore with his people called me the c word instead of debating the issues? Fred knows something is about to come out and he wants people to see civil boards when they check the story out? Interesting.

One thing to keep in mind is the RGC situation. They still have to give them shares then they have to get new financing. When they give RGC shares, will the price go down again? If astn was looking for new financing for the past year, how come TK was the best deal they could find? They had more money in the past and people did not know for sure that the product was not all that it was cracked up to be.

I follow umcc. Their bank said they might extend it if they could show continous profits for a 12 month period before the end of the term of the note. They didn't just want to see a quarter where the numbers could be moved around. They wanted 12 months just to extend a note. I would think that astn would need to show profits for more than a quarter to get a real loan. I think their only alternative for survival at this point is a bridge loan, no payments, deferred everything from a private related party. They use these funds and show two solid quarters of profits then get some real funding. They use the bridge loan to also pay off RGC instead of giving them the shares. RGC won't like that. I will post some RGC info that I posted on yahoo. They sued a company that wanted to pay off their note instead of giving the shares. They make money off shorting, not loaning the money.