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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Dealer who wrote (38794)7/10/2001 5:21:44 PM
From: Sully-  Respond to of 65232
 
U.S. stock index futures slide to three-month lows

CHICAGO, July 10 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures Tuesday sank to their lowest settlements since mid-April, with the Nasdaq 100 index futures bearing the brunt of the losses on dealer selling fueled by worries about corporate earnings.

``There is an atmosphere of continued (earnings) warnings and layoffs,'' one stock index futures trader said. ``It's very cloudy and the trend is definitely down.''

The Chicago Mercantile Exchange's September Nasdaq 100 stock index futures contract ended just off its session low of 1,634.00, a level not seen since April 10.

The Nasdaq 100 contract struggled to rally throughout the day in whipsaw trading, but any bids to the upside were thwarted by dealer and local selling and the absence of a compelling catalyst to entice buying, analysts and traders said.

Even though the lead-month Standard & Poor's (S&P) 500 stock index futures managed to fend off heavy losses, it closed at its session low of 1,186.00, revisiting a three-month low.

U.S. stock index futures kicked off the day on a strong note, extending their overnight gains and rising near the open of pit trade, and initially brushing off news of job cuts and a large second-quarter charge at Corning Inc. (NYSE:GLW - news), the world's biggest maker of fiber-optic cable. But by mid-morning, the rally fizzled and trading whipsawed sideways to lower.

``The market still does not have the ability to have any type of bid going,'' one trader said. ``Dealers were good sellers most of the early morning. One institution was a good seller at around 1,202.00-1,204.00 and sold 1,000 S&P contracts.''

``It is ugly ... The market tried to get up on the opening and it fell through,'' said Peter Blatchford, head of proprietary trading at Miller Tabak & Co. ``It is tough. It is summertime, and slow markets tend to be down markets.''

The futures turned mixed around midday, with a negative bias, and then sold off in the afternoon with the Nasdaq 100 stock index futures pacing the declines.

Locals were short and got an added boost to their cause by some institutions, another trader said.

``People are on edge,'' said Pat O'Hare of Briefing.com. ``The market is like a deer caught in the headlights. It does not know which way it should be going.''

On the one hand, supportive action by the U.S. Federal Reserve, which has so far this year sliced interest rates by 2.75 percentage points, should augur well for stocks.

``Yet that is not happening,'' O'Hare said. On the other hand, ``news from Corning Inc. was quite disconcerting, because to this point, the bullish argument has been that you would have a rebound in earnings prospects by the end of the year.''

``Given the current environment, (Corning's problems are) an acknowledgment that the telecom market is not likely to rebound for another 12 to 18 months,'' O'Hare said. ``It does lead people to question whether they have gotten ahead of themselves, pricing in an economic rebound by the end of the year.''

Investors may be giving up and ``getting out'' on the belief that if they wait that long for a recovery, they might as well have cash, Blatchford said.

In other corporate news, French telecommunications equipment maker Alcatel (NYSE:ALA - news) said on Monday it would cut an additional 2,500 jobs in the United States, or 16 percent of its U.S. work force, and close a facility in North Carolina in a bid to cut costs during the economic slowdown.

On top of that, Deutsche Banc Alex. Brown said Tuesday it expects mobile and fixed wireless equipment firms to report dismal results for the June quarter as wireless telephone and infrastructure firms are hit by slowdowns in their respective sectors.

September S&P's dropped 13.70 to 1,186.50, Dow futures lost 113 points to close at 10,208, Nasdaq 100s tumbled 62.00 to 1,638.00, Russell 2000s were off 9.10 to 478.65, Midcap 400s dropped 6.50 to 499.25, and Nikkei 225s plunged 140.0 to 12,140.0.
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To: Dealer who wrote (38794)7/10/2001 8:15:26 PM
From: Dealer  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 65232
 
A F T E R H O U R S .. Q U O T E S & EARNINGS REPORT DATES
Voltaire's Porch Basket of Stocks

These Stock Have Not Been Picked By Any One Individual

GORILLA--A company that controls it market because it has a discontinuous innovation ,one that is not compatible with existing systems. The market is in a hyper growth stage, and they control the architecture. There is a high switching cost to using some other company's product.

KING--The Market leader, properly with a two-times lead or better over its closest competitor. If the lead shrinks too far, the king becomes a prince, and we have a kingless market. Because they lack architectural control, and because switching costs are low, they cannot force competitors onto the defensive the way Microsoft, Intel, or Cisco can. Compaq is a king. Seagate is a king of hard drives.

A lot of study has been done on these stocks by the Gorilla and Kings thread. There are the stocks that are discussed most often on the porch........and 1 or more are in most porcher's portfolio.

The following Stocks are on the Gorilla and King Index (*)or the Gorilla and King Watchlist

SYMBOL---EARNINGS DATE

BRCM---7/18
CLOSE 35.36
AFTERHOURS 35.55

CREE---7/11
CLOSE 20.07
AFTERHOURS 20.00

*CSCO---8/7
CLOSE 16.20
AFTERHOURS 16.37

ELON---7/19
CLOSE 26.71
AFTERHOURS 26.75

EMC---7/19
CLOSE 21.37
AFTERHOURS 21.40

*GMST---8/13
CLOSE 42.92
AFTERHOURS 42.95

*INTC---7/17
CLOSE 27.79
AFTERHOURS 27.99

ITWO---7/18
CLOSE 14.75
AFTERHOURS 15.00

*JDSU---7/24
CLOSE 10.79
AFTERHOURS 10.94

*NTAP--- 8/14
CLOSE 10.36
AFTERHOURS 10.49

ORCL---6/18
CLOSE 17.59
AFTERHOURS 17.80

PMCS--- 7/19
CLOSE 23.67
AFTERHOURS 23.99

*QCOM--- 7/25
CLOSE 59.05
AFTERHOURS 59.03

RMBS---7/12
CLOSE 9.62
AFTERHOURS 9.61

RNWK---7/17
CLOSE 10.72
AFTERHOUR 10.73

*SEBL---7/18
CLOSE 40.00
AFTERHOURS 40.35

SNDK---7/18
CLOSE 23.35
AFTERHOURS 23.01

SSTI---7/12
CLOSE 8.84
AFTERHOURS 8.70

SUNW---7/19
CLOSE 14.07
AFTERHOURS 14.26

WIND---8/16
CLOSE 14.72
AFTERHOURS 16.72

The Watch & Wait Index consists of stocks that have some desirable c60.25haracteristics but are not necessarily Gorillas or Kings - at least not yet. Most of them will not be, but they bear watching for that possibility.

EARNINGS RELESE DATES EARNING FOR THE ABOVE STOCKS + OTHER STOCKS THAT HAVE BEEN DISCUSSED ON THE PORCH AND ALSO THEIR COMPETITORS.

STOCK REPORTING --- COMPETITOR

July 11
CREE --- HWP
MOT --- ERICY, NOK, LU

July 12
RMBS --- (MU reported in June)
SSTI --- AMTL, INTC, SNDK
AMTL --- SSTI
JNPR --- NT

July 16
PLUS --- ITWO

July 17
RNWK --- APPL, MSFT, AOL
AAPL --- RNWK
INTC --- TXN
TXN --- INTC, BRCM
NEWP --- VECO, COHR

July 18
BRCM --- LU, TXN
ITWO ---
AOL --- RNWK
SEBL ---
SNDK --- SSTI
IBM --- HWP, CPQ, DELL
NEWP --- VECO, COHR

July 19
ELON ---
MSFT --- RNWK, SUNW
EMC --- NTAP
PMCS ---
SUNW --- CPQ, IBM, MSFT
NOK --- QCOM, MOT
NT --- ADCT, CIEN, JNPR

July 20
VECO --- NEWP, AMAT
ERICY --- LU, MOT, NOK

July 23
CPQ --- HWP, IBM, DELL
NVLS --- AMAT

July 24
JDSU --- LU, NEWP
COHR --- NEWP

July 25
QCOM --- ERICY, MOT, NOK

August 4
AMAT --- JDSU, NVLS

August 7
CSCO --- LU

August 13
GMST ---

August 14
NTAP --- BRCD, SUNW
BRCD --- SUNW

August 15
HWP --- IBM, CPQ

August 16
DELL --- CPQ, HWP
WIND --- MSFT
CIEN --- ADCT, LU, CSCO

August 23
ADCT --- CSCO, NT

"Voltaire's Cover Call Strategy 101" see Post # 9490

Post #'s of Recent Cover Call Strategy Discussions
From recent discussions--August 16,17 and 18, 2000 see post #31425 updated 8/31/00

27272 Original Posts "Voltaire Cover Call Strategy 101"