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To: SecularBull who wrote (8677)7/11/2001 10:22:38 PM
From: John Madarasz  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10934
 
No need to feel sorry for me, but thanks...

and as a matter of fact I see the glass as half full...always have. This is an opportunity for me, having no position in the stock right now.

Futures have little to no meaning for me at this hour either, even less for the intermediate term. Profit taking short covering rallies, at support, should be expected in these types of downtrends. I don't see them as something they're not... that being real buying.

I do appreciate your opinion regardless,

and wish you the best.

Good Trading,

JM

p.s. If the fundamentals are so great here, and in the market, why do insiders continue to be net sellers of stock and options across the board... at a record pace?



To: SecularBull who wrote (8677)7/12/2001 9:09:26 PM
From: Jacob Snyder  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 10934
 
re: TA has nothing to do with the fundamentals of this company.

Superficially, that's true, by definition.

Since the company is essentially profitless at the moment, the stock price will be determined entirely by expectations of future profits. Not by this quarter's profits, sales, market share, margins, etc., etc. And not near-term future profits, but by profits more than 12 months in the future, so far into the future that the precision of our guesses about that future is very poor. So, at the moment, whether the stock is at 5 or 15 is a matter of sentiment: which way the wind blows, the daily change in the balance of fear and greed. With NTAP, there is a lot of both fear and greed (= volatility). Given that, TA is better than FA. Why? Because TA is the concrete expression, in lines on a chart, of the summation of all investors opinion of NTAP. And if the chart is telling you something that your FA analysis isn't saying, then........maybe there is something you don't know. Remember, the professionals will get info on the company and industry before you do. That is an inherent disadvantage you have, as an individual investor. So, if a chart "breaks down", and you don't know why, maybe that's because it isn't going to be in the Wall Street Journal till next month, but the Fidelity Tech sector funds managers already know it. Chart-reading can give you clear warning signs when something like this is happening. So, there is a connection between TA and FA, and both are useful tools for an investor.