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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: H James Morris who wrote (128207)7/12/2001 11:58:30 AM
From: Bob Kim  Respond to of 164684
 
HJ, HOMS has fallen enough so that Henry can upgrade it again. Sometimes he needs a nudge.



To: H James Morris who wrote (128207)7/12/2001 12:08:33 PM
From: Skeeter Bug  Respond to of 164684
 
>>Yes, but their revenues are. That's what wall street still cares about.<<

hj, revenues that don't lead to higher earnings are of little value. this case in point shows the market IS irrational.

my point is that we will swing to a point where revenues mean very little and earnings are crowned king. in that environment, msft could easily lose 85% of its value and still be fairly valued in a rational market.

but, hey, i didn't ride the wave up b/c i saw the insanity - missed a great opportunity to make big dough. however, i missed the BIG drop, too. enjoy the party, but don't hang around long enough that the police crash it and arrest you. that would be greedy. ;-)

btw, i recommend frank capiello's (sp??) "guide to finding the next superstock" as a good book outlining how companies are rationally valued.



To: H James Morris who wrote (128207)7/12/2001 3:55:26 PM
From: craig crawford  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
>> Yes, but their revenues are. That's what wall street still cares about. <<

microsoft's revenues are hardly growing. people were expecting them to do around 6.5 billion a quarter in 2000, until they talked things down.

msft did 6.11 billion in rev's seven quarters ago. now they are forecasting 6.5-6.6, a whopping 7% improvement in almost two years. msft posted 6.58 billion three quarters ago, so their revenues are flat to down for the last 9 months.

i haven't been on microsoft's case too much lately, and you can't argue with the fact that their stock has held up relatively well, but it never hurts to hear a different perspective on the numbers.