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To: Shack who wrote (6996)	7/12/2001 5:02:10 PM
From: patron_anejo_por_favor	Respond to of 209892

Good point re: COT's. As I recall, at the beginning of April the commercials had covered pretty heavily (from over 100K short down to 50-60K or so). We'll see tomorrow whether they're still shorting into this.

To: Shack who wrote (6996)	7/12/2001 10:49:45 PM
From: SouthFloridaGuy	Respond to of 209892

The re-emergence of the emerging markets structural problems related to their bubble economies of the 80's up to 1998 is a clear indication that post 1991 monetary policy has only served to prolong the inevitable disaster awaiting - and in the meantime made the problem worse. I read somewhere that debt has increased tremendously in Argentina since 1998 - when they should have gotten their act together after the Asian contagion. IMHO, the US markets will experience a "1998" collapse in a period of weakness as opposed to a period of strength. This time it's the real deal and it's too late to patch up.