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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: stockman_scott who wrote (39072)7/16/2001 1:20:16 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 65232
 
Argentina last week was an initial TSUNAMI shock wave
get ready for more
I aint a great student for all the ins & outs
but have done some reading recently

the issue is currency, as the force that kicks out pillars
sure, foreign economies are weaker than ours
and they depend upon US endless buying of imports

Argentina solved its horrrrreeeeennndous inflation problem in the 1980's
by pegging their Argentine Peso to the USdollar
that earned them stability
but now it buys them an artificially strong Peso currency
the US$ belongs at a slightly lower level in exchange markets
it is just too strong

so every other nation's economy pegged to the US$ will suffer now
that includes Argentina, Lithuania, Cuba, and 20 others
as they benefitted from stability in the past
they will suffer from neighboring competition now
Argentina cannot successfully compete now relative to its neighbors

watch for a shockwave soon from Brazil
that will get much more world attention

NO RECOVERY UNTIL THE SHOCK WAVES AROUND THE WORLD END
THEY HAVE ONLY BEGUN
such waves ensure greater equilibrium that exist now
we have imbalances and airpockets and eroding underpinning pylons
/ jw