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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: jim black who wrote (5924)7/18/2001 1:00:18 AM
From: Maurice Winn  Respond to of 74559
 
Hang on a minute Jim, Phillip Morris hired that consultancy company to look into the effects of smoking. One of the effects is that people die younger. Quite a lot younger. That does save the taxpayer a bunch of money because they pay fewer pensions [especially since smokers are by and large lower socioeconomic and a greater burden on the taxpayer]. There was no suggestion that therefore smoking is a good thing. It was simply pointing out one of the overall effects of smoking.

I personally know somebody who stopped collecting the pension over a decade ago due to lung cancer and that was definitely not a good thing, but it was true. My guess, judging from the person's health, is that they would have gone on for a decade.

I too am calling a bottom [if that will help]. I am still calling for a Dow of 16,000 by February [calling a little more quietly than previously]. However, I am assuming [in the interests of protecting capital] that it is NOT the bottom, so I am NOT increasing my debt levels. One can't be too sure about calling bottoms when one is using a spot or two of debt to fund share purchases.

Mqurice