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Strategies & Market Trends : Pump's daily trading recs, emphasis on short selling -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Michail Shadkin who wrote (4162)7/18/2001 2:14:56 AM
From: double-plus-good  Respond to of 6873
 
Michail;

I suppose I could concede that the chart is bullish, though it appears to be forming a blowoff in its vertical ascent. PRX is in the hot money generic pharm craze currently in progress; aka WFHC, TARO and more. The lone estimate is from a third or fourth tier firm and is based on conjecture at best. The CEO and two VP's recently sold their entire stakes according to filings... so I tend to think this is a bit of mania in action. Even if all the bullish conjecture takes place the exclsivity period for generic ANDA approvals is usually 180 days. So even if they earn 1-2 bucks in 2002 they could very well be back to 40-50 cents the next year.

I think the sector will be in for some unwinding, though your observations suggest it may be best to wait for the craze to die down a bit.

thanks for your input

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