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To: AllansAlias who wrote (7389)7/18/2001 8:03:07 AM
From: Paul Shread  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
Could we be in an abc correction after completing 5 waves down (your "a" as a "3")? If it is a falling wedge, the only thing that would definitively predict is a retest of the May highs (2328 COMPX). I suppose you could look for a measured move duplicating the move off the lows, which would give us 700 points from your "e", or about 2600. I don't even want to think about that measured move in terms of percentage. <g>



To: AllansAlias who wrote (7389)7/18/2001 9:39:27 AM
From: Shack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 209892
 
Allan, it seems to me that the only thing which keeps the 'B' from going back to the lows before the 'C' starts, and the idea that the entire A-B-C would be a flat rather than a zig-zag, is if we assume the 'A' had 5 waves instead of the 3 waves.

Is not possible that the 'A' had 3 waves? The initial rally off of April 4th to 22nd high was 'a', then the bull flag 'b' through May 14th, then the 'c' through to the May 22 high to complete the 'A'.

That's the only count I can find that has us revisiting the lows anytime soon.



To: AllansAlias who wrote (7389)7/18/2001 9:57:54 AM
From: Moominoid  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
I don't know much about EW, but why don't you label the first two sub-waves in the B down wave? Why does the count start on the third one?



To: AllansAlias who wrote (7389)7/18/2001 3:42:33 PM
From: Paul Shread  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 209892
 
Allan,

Just noticed a possible second, steeper downtrend forming in the COMPX daily.

cache.wsrn.com

FWIW.