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To: H James Morris who wrote (128565)7/18/2001 9:24:05 PM
From: Kevin Podsiadlik  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 164684
 
I'll give Kearney this, it was a genius of a market timing call. Just a pity he chose to put it a long-term context.

Actually, I've found a fairly practical use for tracking Kearney's stock basket. I call it the "same old same old" index, after a phrase one of the TSCM writers used to describe how investors and especially fund managers continue to have a tendency to return to the same names they got beat up in over the past year. Anytime I see the index up more than 5% I know this is what is happening.

The theory is, if the market rallies but the SOSO index rallies significantly more strongly, then this is only a temporary rally and can be sat out in relative safety. But if the markets, especially the Nascomp, rally, and this index does NOT follow, then it could be taken as a sign that the investment community has gotten over its "addiction" to high-multiple tech stocks, and we may well have found a solid foundation from which the markets can truly rally long-term.

Anyway, it's something to do while my liquid assets are tied up in a real estate transaction gone FUBAR.