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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: puborectalis who wrote (162982)	7/20/2001 10:43:55 PM
From: Thomas A Watson	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 769670

That is wonderful gloom and doom fud report. After one postulates that an unproven theory is proved, one goes on to assign probabilities of the doom and gloom. But I just don't get how we have flooding drought across much of the globe and that causes famine. It seems to me that flooding means no drought and in a drought you don't have floods. tom watson tosiwmee

To: puborectalis who wrote (162982)	7/21/2001 2:30:35 AM
From: D. Long	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 769670

Like Lindzen says, the probabilities are only as valid as the data that goes into a computer. The absorbtion capacity of the oceans is not fully understood. The water cycle was not taken into account. Was the rate of CO2 emission held constant? Or variable? What justification was used for this decision? Etc etc. By the IPCC's own scientists' admission, the models are imperfect and can not with any certainty predict future climate conditions. Too bad his disclaimer was cut out of the reports to fit the political statement... Derek