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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: William H Huebl who wrote (53312)7/22/2001 11:41:53 AM
From: robert b furman  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Hi Bill,

In Mondays Investors Business Daily (which they deliver on Saturday) they made a comment in the bond section that really caught my attention.

The 2 year treasury note have dropped to a low not seen going all the way back to October 1998.Well I happen to have October 1998 permanently scarred in my brain.gggg

This was the heighth of fear as the Asian Contagion was rolling thru all third world economies.In an effort to diffuse it rates were cut globally.I suspect this is a corollary of your SCYR work.

Perhaps now what we need to see is a vix spike resulting from an swoop down to 1400(must break 1600 at least) and the european's get on the rate cutting band wagon as Uncle Al announces an intermeeting rate cut as well.

Then a reversal of historical proportions will occur just in time for the lags of monetary expansion to kick in.

A very doable scenario - 95 % of which is already in place.

Bob



To: William H Huebl who wrote (53312)7/22/2001 2:18:09 PM
From: blitzfund  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Hi Bill, did you get a chance to read page 20 in your Barron's dated July 23, 2001:)

Friday the 13th closes vs Friday the 20th. (One week)

DJIA 10,539.06 - 10,576.65
NASDAQ 2,084.79 - 2,029.37
FTSE 5,537.00 - 5,387.10
Nikkei 12,355.15 - 11,908.39
S&P 500 1,215.64 - 1,210.85

Blitz

P.S. Looks like it's still headed down to me, except for that crazy DOW.(see Barron's for explanation)even I couldn't of dreamed up that one:)



To: William H Huebl who wrote (53312)7/23/2001 8:39:45 AM
From: Arik T.G.  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
>>Any questions?

Yes.

* Why use the SPY and not the index itself ? A guess - to see better gaps?

* What's that SCYR you're using ?

* You see this coming week more down then up if I understood correctly?

TIA

ATG