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Strategies & Market Trends : Ask DrBob -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: longdong_63 who wrote (41063)7/22/2001 11:58:00 PM
From: bcrafty  Respond to of 100058
 
longdong - Thanks. I had heard about regulation FD

but in their CCs those mentioned companies said even less than others.

Here's where I read about the "no guidance" aspect of my post, from thestreet.com on July 20 by Adam Lashinsky:

"Goodbye guidance. There was a time when companies just commented
quietly to analysts on Wall Street's expectations for their financial results.
Then, after passage of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, a
few bold companies, notably Intel (INTC:Nasdaq - news - commentary),
began publishing their so-called guidance in their quarterly earnings
announcements. Now, after Regulation FD, all companies simply say what
they expect on a conference call and leave it at that.

But a new trend is developing: No guidance at all. San Jose, Calif.-based
communications chipmaker PMC-Sierra (PMCS:Nasdaq - news -
commentary) began to set the tone earlier this year when it repeatedly whined
that it had "no visibility" on its performance for the rest of the year. Then
Corning (GLW:NYSE - news - commentary), by meaninglessly saying it
expected a recovery within 12 to 18 months, essentially turned off the
guidance spigot.

And this week, companies like Sun Microsystems (EMC:NYSE - news -
commentary), EMC (EMC:NYSE - news - commentary) and Nortel Networks
(NT:NYSE - news - commentary) took things a step further by saying
absolutely nothing about the future. Sun, for example, said it won't talk about
expectations until its midquarter update in August.

Outgoing Nortel CEO John Roth said in a statement Thursday: "We do not
expect meaningful growth in spending to occur before the second half of 2002.
As a result, our visibility continues to be limited for the near term and we will
not provide guidance for the third quarter or full-year 2001 at this time."

This is good development. Detailed guidance from companies made
professional investors lazy. Everyone had the same guidance, and so
everyone was completely shocked when the guidance changed. Now analysts
who model well because they make the correct assumptions will have an
edge over those who assume badly."