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To: Les H who wrote (875)7/24/2001 1:29:06 PM
From: Les H  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1328
 
change in EW counts

traders-talk.com



To: Les H who wrote (875)7/24/2001 1:40:08 PM
From: Louis V. Lambrecht  Respond to of 1328
 
Les - yeah: tools used in bull and bear markets must be different.
And even flipping the charts upside down (remember Alias inverted COMPX quiz? <g>) has some caveats.
schaeffersresearch.com
Jerry Wang has an interesting point of view on "price compression".

For the cycle subdivision, I like HighReturn'n approach of:
Bottom - to - top
Topr - to - bottom.
And in previous posts on the late MarketWizards dot com he noticed that cycle trading only was rewardable for a 2 month short trend. (Markets trend 30% of the time and do nothing for the reminder 70 <g>)

Will check your timings and use that thirds approach (as in Kichin walls <g>). Seems that the magic number would be 9, not 12.
Still as in bull markets, the strongest move is the bottom to top rally, I suspect that in bearish markets, the strong move early in the cycle should be the South one.

TTYL