To: Gordon A. Langston who wrote (164219 ) 7/25/2001 12:43:33 AM From: CYBERKEN Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 769670 Perhaps one of the more telling parallels of the trend is one that appeared in the carnage of the Goldwater defeat in 1964. The Deep South, like Hispanics today, voted religiously Democrat for most of a century. Adlai Stevenson had found his strongest support there, despite being the most liberal of the two candidates, in 1952 and 1956. In the Goldwater debacle, millions of Deep South voters went against their traditional party for the first time in their lives. Over the ensuing decade, the Republicans spent and worked harder in the South than anywhere, and built not only the base that elected Reagan in 1980, but the core of what Kevin Phillips called "The Emerging Republican Majority". George W. Bush was one of the first Republicans to recognize this parallel trend, and Republican resources will be targeted toward Hispanics as long as he runs the party and, most likely, beyond. The key test for 2002 and 2004 will be in California, where the Republican party has virtually ceased to exist. Look not for a sweeping Bush victory in CA in 2004. He probably won't take that state. But if the Republicans can force the Democrats to commit far heavier resources there, it will have negative implications for the Dem's efforts in the midwest and Florida. There are several midwestern states that went for Gore by a hair (and most likely a manufactured hair, at that). Take away 15% to 20% of the Dem money in those states, and the effect in the Electoral College goes Republican by a far wider margin. George W. Bush, and Bush alone, is responsible for the Hispanic turn in Texas. He will now do in several states, like California and New Mexico, what he did in Texas. It's a great time to be a Republican-if you know what to look for...