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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold Price Monitor -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ken Benes who wrote (73933)7/25/2001 2:29:04 PM
From: c.hinton  Respond to of 116756
 
Obviously I can only speak for my self ,but I would not be in gold (12% net worth) if I had confidence in an economic recovery in the near future.Gata does not enter into my investment decision nor does short term trading ops.The credit bubble,and overly strong dollar does enter into it.
If we have been experiencing a credit bubble it seems reasonable that until the the resulting debt has been paid off or defaulted upon no lasting recovery is possible.
I fear not a stock market crash ,but a bond market crash or at the very least , a severe crisis.
It seems to me that visions of a lasting recovery in the near future are based on current economic data remaining stable.ie Unemployment remains stable, the dollar remains stable,earnings remain stable,inflation remains stable,corporate and private debt remains stable and the world economy as a whole remaining stable.
It is all a very tall order,and it is all interconnected,if one deteriorates there is the real possibility that the others will follow.
This is only my opinion. For me wealth creation is secondary to wealth preservation .
PS deflation and inflation can happen at the same time.It is called stagflation.