MRCY ( $50 -$39) P/E 44 2001 Revenues Up 28% and EPS Up 21%; issues warning
Fourth Quarter EPS Up 85% and Revenues Up 38% Year-Over-Year Business/Technology Editors CHELMSFORD, Mass.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--July 30, 2001-- Mercury Computer Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ: MRCY), a leading supplier of embedded real-time digital signal and image processing systems, today reported results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended June 30, 2001. Posting its 42nd consecutive quarter of profitable company performance in the fourth quarter: --Revenues were $48.7 million, up 38% over Q4 FY2000. --Net income was $8.7 million, up 87% over Q4 FY2000. --EPS (diluted) was $0.37, up 85% over Q4 FY2000. Fiscal 2001 was another outstanding performance year for the company: --Revenues were $180.5 million, up 28% over FY2000. --Operating income was 22% of revenues at $39.6 million, up 18% over FY2000. --Net income was 17% of revenues at $30.7 million, up 23% over FY2000. --EPS (diluted) was $1.33, up 21% over FY2000. "Healthy revenue growth in each of our core businesses once again contributed to Mercury's strong year-to-year performance," said Jay Bertelli, president and CEO of Mercury Computer Systems. "Fiscal 2001 was another record year. Despite the economic turmoil in the technology sector over the past several months, we outperformed the company's goals set at the beginning of the year by nearly $5 million on the revenue line and over 15 percent in earnings per share. The strength of our market leadership combined with the ongoing product development and advanced technology initiatives of our engineering team, keeps Mercury Computer Systems well positioned to provide continued product leadership to our customers and long-term revenue and earnings growth for our shareholders." Defense Electronics Segment --Fourth quarter revenues were $31.6 million, up 30% over Q4 FY2000, and represented 65% of the company's total revenues for the quarter. --FY2001 revenues were $120.4 million, up 20% over FY2001, accounting for 67% of the company's total revenues for the year. During the quarter the company secured 15 new program wins amounting to approximately $4.5 million in initial contracts. Two of the new programs are international and the remaining 13 are domestic. Combined, the 15 programs represent a five-year potential of more than $33 million if all the programs were to progress to full completion. Included in this quarter's successes were initial program wins in two new application areas targeted by the company for penetration: software defined radio and surface radar. The company received multiple international and domestic orders for systems to be used in developing software defined radio solutions, an offshoot from our wireless initiative. In addition, the company won three new surface radar programs. These include a program with Northrop Grumman's Electronic Sensors and Systems Sector (ES3) in which the company will provide systems as part of ES3's contract to upgrade the Federal Aviation Administration's Weather Systems Processor (WSP), and another supporting RS Information Systems, Inc., in its recently awarded contract to upgrade the National Weather Service's Radar Data Acquisition System. The revenue for the worldwide defense segment of the business has remained strong throughout the year. The company has a pipeline of new programs that are expected to continue to drive our defense electronics growth. The fourth quarter wins bring the total of new program wins for FY2001 to 53. These 53 program wins follow the 56 program wins recorded in FY2000 and the 28 programs won in FY1999. Combined, these 137 programs represent a five-year potential in excess of $470 million in revenue if all the programs were to progress to full completion. Medical Diagnostic Imaging Segment --Fourth quarter revenues were $13.9 million, up 80% over Q4 FY2000, accounting for 28% of the company's fourth quarter revenues. --For FY2001 revenues were $43.5 million, up 61% over FY2000, representing 24% of the company's total revenues for the year. Mercury continued to benefit from the stellar performances turned in by our customers in sales of high-end MRI and multislice CT scanners. In addition, our PET business and the production ramp supporting General Electric Medical Systems' new digital cardiology system continued to expand. This year's 61% growth in medical imaging revenues follows the 77% growth experienced in fiscal 2000. During the year the company secured two new medical design wins; one in PET, and one, which was previously announced, with GEMS in its next generation MRI. These wins, along with our growing business with GEMS in its Innova 2000. digital cardiology system, and the potential with Philips in the digital X-ray area, will further establish Mercury as the leading supplier of high-performance systems for the medical diagnostic imaging industry. OEM Solutions Segment --Fourth quarter revenues were $3.2 million, down 3% from Q4 FY2000, accounting for 7% of the company's revenues for the quarter. --For FY2001 revenues were $16.6 million, up 23% over FY2000, representing 9% of the company's total revenues for the year. The company has had an exciting and successful year in our OEM Solutions segment with multiple design wins in the semiconductor imaging market which are expected to provide very strong revenue and earnings growth in fiscal 2003 and beyond. Overall the semiconductor imaging market represents a new served market potential for Mercury in excess of $200 million over the next four years. The current design wins represent potential new annual revenues of more than $50 million by FY03. It is anticipated that these design wins will require from 12 to 24 months to achieve production. Therefore, FY2002 revenues in this segment will come primarily from development systems to support each design program. Mercury's systems are being used in applications targeted to the newest semiconductor geometries and process technologies. We believe that investments in the infrastructure required to support the manufacturing of chips based on these new technologies will continue for development of the processes. This will position Mercury to participate in equipping the new fabs when production begins. Wireless Communications Segment The company is very encouraged with the continuing progress of the technology and business development activity within the wireless business segment. During the quarter the team has continued to have favorable technical and business-level dialogue with potential customers. So, despite the turmoil in the wireless industry, with the base station manufacturers (BSMs) dealing with poor financial performances and the resulting reorganizations and cost-control measures, the wireless group is making headway. In fact, because of this turmoil, our value proposition to the BSMs and their customers, the service providers, is perhaps more compelling than ever. Outsourcing of the Mercury communications computer is a means for a BSM to lower its overall internal engineering costs. Our products offer the opportunity to provide a flexible and scalable base station, while significantly increasing coverage and/or service quality. The company's investment strategy has been to leverage the products developed by the wireless engineering team into new applications within Mercury's other market segments. This includes the opportunity for taking the products into other segments of the telecom infrastructure where there are multiple potential distribution and application partners. In the coming year the wireless team expects to expand its business development focus into these adjacent telecom network application markets. We also see the opportunity to apply the new features designed into the wireless product in our other markets. Consequently, some of this year's investment will be to configure the systems to more specifically meet the needs of our other markets. Though the timing of development of the 3G wireless market continues to be a topic of public debate, the company remains convinced that it is making the right strategic decisions to optimize its return on investment in this potentially hyper-growth market. As indicated in the attached pro forma P&L statement, the company invested $5.7 million in this business segment during fiscal 2001. The company anticipates investing approximately $7.5 million in fiscal 2002 to continue the product and market development. Though the company's time-to-revenue may be pushed out somewhat by the current conditions, this market continues to represent the largest single new market potential for the company, with an estimated served market size in the range of $500 million to $1 billion annually over the next several years. Product Developments During the fourth quarter, Mercury announced extensions to its industry-leading family of multicomputer systems that quadrupled the communications performance between processors in the system. Each processing board in the system can now stream data at over 2 GByte/second, and a single-chassis system can now provide up to a TeraFLOP of processing capability. The company's high-end systems are targeted at the most complex defense applications, such as those that use space-time adaptive processing. Mercury has already delivered several systems for use in surface ship-based radar and airborne early warning radar applications. During the year the company continued its investments in core technology that will result over the course of the coming fiscal year and fiscal 2003 in the introduction of several new and exciting products. These products promise to bring the high-performance, high-bandwidth supercomputing power for which Mercury is known to some new markets and additional applications within existing markets. The culmination of these multi-year investments in a new hardware and software architecture will be systems that can provide as much as ten times (10X) the price/performance capability of current products. Backlog Summary The company started fiscal 2001 with a record backlog of approximately $60.2 million. For the year as a whole, the company experienced a book-to-bill ratio of 0.94. The softness in orders came primarily within the domestic defense electronics segment. As an example, the company saw between $15 million and $20 million in expected fiscal 2001 bookings in sonar-related programs pushed out, particularly the Acoustic Rapid COTS Insertion (ARCI) program, due in part to limited Navy funding. As a result, the backlog at the beginning of fiscal 2002 was reduced to $42.3 million. Business Outlook The following estimates are our best understanding, given current visibility on business outlook. It is possible that actual performance will be outside the ranges and estimates given -- either on the upside or on the downside. Investors should consider all of the risks identified, including those listed in the Safe Harbor Statement below, with respect to these estimates and make themselves aware of the risk factors that may impact the company's actual performance. Mr. G. Mead Wyman, Mercury senior vice president and CFO, said, "While the longer-term outlook is robust, the shorter term has some weaknesses. Specifically, there has been a recent shortfall in bookings levels in the domestic defense business, and a subsequent slowing of the revenue growth rate. This reduction appeared definitively at the end of the FY01 fourth quarter. We have seen reinforcement of this drop off in business volume as we look at the business forecasts in the first part of this fiscal year. When the DoD decides to start spending again we believe we are well positioned, as the result of the many design wins over the years, to see our defense business get back on track. The medical business future growth potential is very strong, but the growth rate in FY2002 will be relatively flat and as said previously, the growth in the semiconductor inspection business is in its early stages." "In view of the more difficult predictive outlook, we will not give a specific forecast model for the year. We will, however, give our best current understanding of important annual financial parameters. Beginning with this report, and as the year goes on, we will provide specific estimates for the upcoming quarter as part of our normal quarterly reports. "We expect that annual corporate revenue growth in FY2002 will be in the range of 5% to 15%. We expect to see our gross margin improve slightly but to remain within management's target range of 67-69%. SG&A expenses, as a percentage of revenues, will be within management's target range of 28-30%. R&D expense will be approximately 20% of revenues. The planned expenditures for FY2002 in SG&A and Engineering, while subject to more rigid expense control, do provide for the continuing investment in the development of products and markets that offer significant growth and return. We believe it is in the best long-term interest of shareholders to continue to pursue these opportunities. AgileVision losses are estimated to be approximately $1.0 million for the fiscal year. The company's effective tax rate is expected to remain at 32% for the year. "Our net margins are expected to be near or within management's target range. Operating income is expected to be in the range of 17%-18% of revenues, but could be several percentage points lower, depending on volume. Net income is expected to be in the range of 15% to 16%, but could be several points below that, again depending upon volume. "In the first quarter of FY2002, revenues are expected to be 8%-12% below the levels of revenues in the first quarter of Fiscal 2001, reflecting, especially in defense, the weaker business input in the fourth quarter and the business outlook for the first quarter. The summer quarter is often our weakest quarter. At this volume level, we estimate operating income to be 1%-5% of revenues. Net income is estimated to be in the 4%-6% of revenues range," said Mr. Wyman. "Looking out over the next several years," said Mr. Bertelli, "the growth rates in our established businesses should keep our overall annual growth rates in the 25% to 30% range. The medical diagnostic imaging marketplace will moderate from its greater than 50% growth rate level, but is expected to grow at least at the overall corporate rate. The OEM solutions business, which is still in a developmental phase, is expected to grow very rapidly as a result of the investment and design wins achieved or which are highly probable in this area. We expect to see the established defense business grow at rates similar to those of the past several years, but at this point in time, it is more difficult to estimate growth in this market. "In addition to the continued growth in our established markets, we now see more clearly the revenue growth potential in semiconductor imaging, wireless, software defined radio, and digital entertainment, areas where Mercury has been making major investments in recent years. These investments could increase Mercury's corporate growth rate beyond the CAGR of 25% achieved over the past five years. "Contained within our fiscal 2002 operating plan are those investments in both product development and market development that are anticipated to significantly expand the company's served market potential. Investments in defense electronics will expand our served markets into software defined radio and surface radar applications. These two new application areas combined represent a potential served market in excess of $250 million over the FY02-FY06 timeframe. Investments in the medical diagnostic imaging are expected to expand our annual served market to over $200 million by FY04-FY05. By achieving our target of at least 50% market share, revenues from this business segment could potentially more than double in that timeframe. Investments in our semiconductor imaging segment are expected to expand this potential annual served market to more than $200 million over the next four years. And finally, investments in wireless communications are anticipated to expand the company's served market by as much as $500 million to over $1 billion annually in the FY03-FY06 timeframe. "We are convinced we have made, and continue to make, the right strategic product development and market development investments to keep the company in a favorable position to capitalize on the growing demand for high-performance signal and image processing systems," concluded Mr. Bertelli. "Despite current market conditions and uncertainties, we will continue to make the investments that will maintain our market and technology leadership in the high-performance embedded digital signal and image processing industry. While we remain cautiously optimistic about the near term, Mercury's long-term prospects for continued annual revenue growth in the 25% to 30% range coupled with strong operating income and net income performance are excellent." |