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Strategies & Market Trends : The Covered Calls for Dummies Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Dan Duchardt who wrote (1669)7/29/2001 8:53:11 PM
From: Mathemagician  Respond to of 5205
 
The key is the pretty good time premium. Since the farther ITM you go, the less time premium you collect, locking yourself into very little upside potential for the sake of a little time premium becomes less attractive than a strategy of owning a reduced size position in the underlying. Over the course of a few days from the time you establish the position, 30 shares of stock has a better risk-reward curve than 100 shares of the stock against a delta .70 call (net CC delta .30). Anyone who can do well timing entry and exit on the DITM calls can do better timing entry and exit on an appropriately smaller underlying position, and at lower transaction cost. If you hold till expiration, there is a window around the strike price where the the short call works out better, but for big moves in either direction away from the strike, a reduced long stock position is better. The size of the window of course gets bigger the more time premium you can get.

Excellent points. I was assuming holding until expiry with longer term options. For example, let's look at buying SEBL for 34.22 (Friday's close) and selling SEBL Jan-03 20's for 18.5 (Friday's closing bid).

Capital Outlay: 34.22 - 18.5 = 15.72
Cash In at Expiry: 20
Profit if Called: 4.28
ROI: 21%
Annualized ROI: 15%

Notice that this ROI is attained as long as SEBL closes anywhere above 20, which means your respectable 15% annual return is protected against a 40% drop in the underlying for 18 months. Sounds pretty attractive to me right about now.

If you can predict the closing price, and sell the strike to match it, selling the calls is always better.

If I could predict the closing price, I wouldn't be selling calls, I'd more than likely be buying them... on margin! ;)

dM