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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Maurice Winn who wrote (6412)7/29/2001 8:06:10 PM
From: westpacific  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Maurice - you are right about Ravi. However he does have some valid points that cannot be ignored.

I do think that the Clinton era was all about the FED. Clinton brought in two FED appointees and Greenie himself is more alined with the Democrats.

So in overall context I think you have to look at some of the points Ravi makes.

And also I do agree that the technology revolution is the future from an investment standpoint. But I disagree it is all in the US. Europe, Japan, some Asian nations, India, China have some brilliant minds and technology talent.

And do not forget that things like software can be copied and engineers overseas can develop it just as easily.

So overall the US is not out of the woods just yet and Ravi may still be made out to be right.

We shall see, but the story unfolds on way or the other within the next year - so we do not have long to wait.

All the best

West



To: Maurice Winn who wrote (6412)7/30/2001 11:01:44 AM
From: Ilaine  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Maurice, yesterday I read a book you will like, Next by Michael Lewis. Lewis also wrote Liar's Poker and The New New Thing, and he writes for the New York Times. He did a long piece about Jonathan Lebed, the 15 year old kid who used to pump-and-dump small cap stocks on SI, and it's in the book. But the book isn't about investing, it's about how the internet is upsetting old heirarchies and making things more level.

There's a bit about a 14 year old boy who gives legal advice on askme.com, and a bit about a rock band that sell their records directly to their fans and book tours via email, and a segment on Napster and Gnutella, and so forth.

One of the things that's important to think about when examining the creativity of cultures is that creativity flourishes when the creator is fairly certain of being rewarded in some way for creating, and won't get ripped off.

People who write free software like Linux and Gnutella do it for the glory - no one can steal that.

The culture that is developing around the Internet expects information to be free, but they don't mind paying for creativity. I don't know how that is resolved, exactly. I never expected the Internet to make money at least in the beginning, because I read an interview years ago in Wired by a very wise man whose name I have forgotten, who explained why it wouldn't. Same thing with railroads and airplanes in the beginning - if you total all the companies that made money against all the companies that went bust it zeroes out.

Read the book and it all makes sense.

It helped me understand my own business model. As a lawyer, I give away basic information for free, myself. One half hour free consultation - they usually don't take half an hour. No point charging to answer a simple question. If you need someone who can take a case and work it up properly from start to finish, then I am worth paying for. I am going to set up a website based on that model, give away basic information for free in hope that people with more complex issues will like what they read and hire me.