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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: William H Huebl who wrote (53569)7/31/2001 8:39:38 PM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Nope... Not after the markets have been in the greatest bubble of all time, and the Dow is only down 10% from the top. Do you really expect an 8-year long bull leg from here? The markets will be priced at 1000% GDP then. IMHO they can go up some, but the longer bear has not even started yet. p/e is unreasonable for NAS, p/sales and p/book as well. What we are seeing in the market is hope; hope for a quick post-bubble recovery, which is highly unlikely. If the SCYR is 1.4, this means earnings are likely to come down, if not disappear. Rate cuts don't work in the post-bubble economy; see 1929 and Japan.



To: William H Huebl who wrote (53569)7/31/2001 9:20:09 PM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
In other words, I don't believe what the tape is printing. But I'll cover if the market continues up. -g-



To: William H Huebl who wrote (53569)7/31/2001 9:44:44 PM
From: Skeet Shipman  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Director of The Conference Board's Consumer Research Center. "The Present Situation
Index, which is still historically high, suggests that consumer spending will hold at, or near,
current levels. Despite sluggish economic conditions and almost non-stop layoff
announcements, consumers are cautiously optimistic that the economy will rebound later this
year."