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Technology Stocks : Son of SAN - Storage Networking Technologies -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Douglas Nordgren who wrote (3735)8/2/2001 3:39:22 AM
From: Gus  Respond to of 4808
 
....Coupled with Compaq's poor service record, I can't see this as an attractive package for the larger heterogeneous SAN market.

Well, Compaq can always fall back on its "heritage"
in open systems.<g>

Check out my estimates of the average SAN revenue
per vendor in 2000. The top 4 vendors with the
largest SANs -- EMC, HDS, IBM, HWP -- are already
offering directors and fabric switches. The
bottom 3 vendors with the smallest SANs --
Compaq, Dell, Sun -- are only offering fabric
switches. Correlation?


2000 SAN MARKET - Gartner
Plus Average SAN Revenue (extrapolated)

SAN Revenue SAN shipments Average
Share Sales % Units SAN REVENUE

EMC 38.8% $1.88B 11% 5,388 $348,924
Compaq 28.5% 1.38B 49% 24,000 57,500
HWP 10.4% 502M 7% 3,429 146,398
IBM 4.5% 219M 2% 980 223,469
HDS 3.4% 165M 1% 490 336,735
SUNW 3.0% 147M 14% 6,857 21,438
DELL 1.4% 67M 3% 1,469 45,609
Others 10.0% 484M 13% 6,367 76,017

Total 100.0% $4.84B 100% 48,980* $ 98,816

*IF 24,000 SANs equate to 49% THEN 48,980 SANs equate to 100%

Sample calculation: 48,980 x EMC(11%) = 5,388 SANs;
$1.88B/5,388 SANs = $348,924

Numbers galore.

Message 16159005