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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Moominoid who wrote (4325)8/3/2001 11:18:43 AM
From: Raymond Duray  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 33421
 
Hi David,

What do you see as a "trigger" to get the dollar to roll over? I tend to agree that it seems over-valued, but then, these out-of-balance conditions sometimes last for decades.....

Best, Ray



To: Moominoid who wrote (4325)8/3/2001 11:40:14 AM
From: Louis V. Lambrecht  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 33421
 
David - funny you relate the Dollar strenght to the Nasdaq.
For my part, I check the Nasdaq against the Euro, sort of "repatriation" signal.
Watching this since Sep last year and had good confirmations of Nasdaq moves: for instance, when the Nasdaq rallies and the Euro prices higher, the rally is out of steam.

Foreign investments account for roughly 10% of the equities market.
If one third, or a fourth of these investments are speculative money, this still is a huge amount to be added or withdrawn from the equities market at the click of a button.

So, I don't know if a weaker Dollar would pull down the Nasdaq as you say. IMHO, a weaker Nasdaq profits to the Euro.
Both statements could be true at the same time though.